Welsbach Technology Stock Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average

WTMAUDelisted Stock  USD 10.56  0.00  0.00%   
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Welsbach Technology Metals on the next trading day is expected to be 10.90 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.39 and the sum of the absolute errors of 20.61. Welsbach Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
An 8-period moving average forecast model for Welsbach Technology is based on an artificially constructed time series of Welsbach Technology daily prices in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 8 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Welsbach Technology 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 2nd of February

Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Welsbach Technology Metals on the next trading day is expected to be 10.90 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.39, mean absolute percentage error of 0.61, and the sum of the absolute errors of 20.61.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Welsbach Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Welsbach Technology's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Welsbach Technology Stock Forecast Pattern

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Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Welsbach Technology stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Welsbach Technology stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria102.9145
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0552
MADMean absolute deviation0.3889
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0339
SAESum of the absolute errors20.6125
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Welsbach Technology Metals 8-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Welsbach Technology

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Welsbach Technology. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
7.0410.5614.08
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
6.079.5913.11
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
9.6511.5713.49
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Welsbach Technology. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Welsbach Technology's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Welsbach Technology's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Welsbach Technology.

Welsbach Technology Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Welsbach Technology stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Welsbach Technology could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Welsbach Technology by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Welsbach Technology Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Welsbach Technology stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Welsbach Technology shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Welsbach Technology stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Welsbach Technology Metals entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Welsbach Technology Risk Indicators

The analysis of Welsbach Technology's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Welsbach Technology's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting welsbach stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

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You can also try the Stocks Directory module to find actively traded stocks across global markets.

Other Consideration for investing in Welsbach Stock

If you are still planning to invest in Welsbach Technology check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Welsbach Technology's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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