Essential Utilities Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| WTRG Stock | USD 37.66 0.79 2.14% |
Essential Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Essential Utilities' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 10th of February 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of Essential Utilities' share price is below 20 . This entails that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.307 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.4391 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.128 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.2352 | Wall Street Target Price 42.1667 |
Using Essential Utilities hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Essential Utilities from the perspective of Essential Utilities response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Essential Utilities using Essential Utilities' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Essential using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Essential Utilities' stock price.
Essential Utilities Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Essential Utilities' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Essential. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Essential Utilities stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 38.7394 | Short Percent 0.0258 | Short Ratio 3.71 | Shares Short Prior Month 4.9 M | 50 Day MA 38.573 |
Essential Relative Strength Index
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Essential Utilities on the next trading day is expected to be 37.27 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.40 and the sum of the absolute errors of 23.45.Essential Utilities Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Essential Utilities' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Essential. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Essential can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Essential Utilities. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Essential Utilities' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Essential Utilities.
Essential Utilities Implied Volatility | 0.75 |
Essential Utilities' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Essential Utilities stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Essential Utilities' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Essential Utilities stock will not fluctuate a lot when Essential Utilities' options are near their expiration.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Essential Utilities on the next trading day is expected to be 37.27 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.40 and the sum of the absolute errors of 23.45. Essential Utilities after-hype prediction price | USD 37.4 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Essential | Build AI portfolio with Essential Stock |
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Essential contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Essential Utilities will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0469% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Essential Utilities trading at USD 37.66, that is roughly USD 0.0177 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Essential Utilities' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Essential Utilities options at the current volatility level of 0.75%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Essential Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Essential Utilities' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Essential Utilities' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Essential Utilities stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Essential Utilities' open interest, investors have to compare it to Essential Utilities' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Essential Utilities is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Essential. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Essential Utilities Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Essential price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Essential using various technical indicators. When you analyze Essential charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Essential Utilities Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 11th of February 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Essential Utilities on the next trading day is expected to be 37.27 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.40, mean absolute percentage error of 0.27, and the sum of the absolute errors of 23.45.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Essential Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Essential Utilities' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Essential Utilities Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Essential Utilities | Essential Utilities Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Essential Utilities Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Essential Utilities' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Essential Utilities' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 35.97 and 38.56, respectively. We have considered Essential Utilities' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Essential Utilities stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Essential Utilities stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 113.1073 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0482 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.3974 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0104 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 23.445 |
Predictive Modules for Essential Utilities
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Essential Utilities. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Essential Utilities After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Essential Utilities at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Essential Utilities or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Essential Utilities, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Essential Utilities Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Essential Utilities' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Essential Utilities' historical news coverage. Essential Utilities' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 36.10 and 38.70, respectively. We have considered Essential Utilities' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Essential Utilities is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Essential Utilities is based on 3 months time horizon.
Essential Utilities Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Essential Utilities is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Essential Utilities backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Essential Utilities, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.05 | 1.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
37.66 | 37.40 | 0.08 |
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Essential Utilities Hype Timeline
Essential Utilities is at this time traded for 37.66. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Essential is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 37.4 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price rise on the next news is projected to be 0.08%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.05%. The volatility of related hype on Essential Utilities is about 1566.27%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 37.66. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 2.09 B. Net Income was 595.31 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.41 B. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Essential Utilities to cross-verify your projections.Essential Utilities Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Essential Utilities' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Essential Utilities' future price movements. Getting to know how Essential Utilities' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Essential Utilities may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PNW | Pinnacle West Capital | (0.59) | 8 per month | 0.80 | (0.01) | 1.76 | (1.14) | 3.83 | |
| AES | The AES | 0.1 | 11 per month | 1.39 | 0.07 | 3.11 | (2.49) | 11.35 | |
| OGE | OGE Energy | 0.20 | 12 per month | 0.87 | (0.05) | 1.36 | (1.46) | 3.57 | |
| SBS | Companhia de Saneamento | (0.01) | 9 per month | 1.98 | 0.07 | 3.76 | (4.23) | 10.23 | |
| EMA | Emera Incorporated | (0.36) | 9 per month | 0.85 | (0.02) | 1.61 | (1.25) | 4.24 | |
| UGI | UGI Corporation | (0.21) | 11 per month | 1.40 | 0.07 | 2.42 | (1.39) | 13.41 | |
| CWT | California Water Service | 0.28 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 2.14 | (2.16) | 5.52 | |
| BIP | Brookfield Infrastructure Partners | 0.38 | 8 per month | 0.91 | 0.10 | 1.66 | (1.59) | 5.53 | |
| AWR | American States Water | 1.39 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 1.53 | (1.87) | 4.33 | |
| IDA | IDACORP | (0.35) | 10 per month | 0.83 | 0.02 | 1.66 | (1.35) | 4.65 |
Other Forecasting Options for Essential Utilities
For every potential investor in Essential, whether a beginner or expert, Essential Utilities' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Essential Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Essential. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Essential Utilities' price trends.Essential Utilities Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Essential Utilities stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Essential Utilities could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Essential Utilities by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Essential Utilities Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Essential Utilities stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Essential Utilities shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Essential Utilities stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Essential Utilities entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 70286.34 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.6695 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.02 | |||
| Day Median Price | 37.51 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 37.56 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.54 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.79 |
Essential Utilities Risk Indicators
The analysis of Essential Utilities' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Essential Utilities' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting essential stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.9935 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.27 | |||
| Variance | 1.62 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Essential Utilities
The number of cover stories for Essential Utilities depends on current market conditions and Essential Utilities' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Essential Utilities is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Essential Utilities' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Essential Utilities Short Properties
Essential Utilities' future price predictability will typically decrease when Essential Utilities' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Essential Utilities often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Essential Utilities' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Essential Utilities' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 274.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 9.2 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Essential Utilities to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in Essential Stock please use our How to Invest in Essential Utilities guide.You can also try the Portfolio Diagnostics module to use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings.
Can Water Utilities industry sustain growth momentum? Does Essential have expansion opportunities? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Essential Utilities. Anticipated expansion of Essential directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Determining accurate worth demands scrutiny of both present operating results and projected expansion capacity. Evaluating Essential Utilities demands reviewing these metrics collectively while recognizing certain factors exert disproportionate influence.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.307 | Dividend Share 1.319 | Earnings Share 2.4 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.096 |
Understanding Essential Utilities requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Essential's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what Essential Utilities' is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Essential Utilities' price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Essential Utilities' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Essential Utilities is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. In contrast, Essential Utilities' trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.