Western Resources Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction

WTRNF Stock  USD 0.05  0.01  20.36%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Western Resources Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.05 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0. Western Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Western Resources' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A naive forecasting model for Western Resources is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Western Resources Corp value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Western Resources Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 2nd of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Western Resources Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.05 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Western Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Western Resources' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Western Resources Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Western Resources Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Western Resources' Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Western Resources' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.05 and 0.05, respectively. We have considered Western Resources' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.05
0.05
Expected Value
0.05
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Western Resources pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Western Resources pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria44.8399
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Western Resources Corp. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Western Resources. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Western Resources

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Western Resources Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.040.050.05
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.040.040.05
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Western Resources

For every potential investor in Western, whether a beginner or expert, Western Resources' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Western Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Western. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Western Resources' price trends.

Western Resources Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Western Resources pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Western Resources could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Western Resources by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Western Resources Corp Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Western Resources' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Western Resources' current price.

Western Resources Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Western Resources pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Western Resources shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Western Resources pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Western Resources Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in Western Pink Sheet

Western Resources financial ratios help investors to determine whether Western Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Western with respect to the benefits of owning Western Resources security.