West Texas Pink Sheet Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

WTXR Stock  USD 0.08  0.03  26.36%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of West Texas Resources on the next trading day is expected to be 0.07 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.42. West Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Triple exponential smoothing for West Texas - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When West Texas prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in West Texas price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of West Texas Resources.

West Texas Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 29th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of West Texas Resources on the next trading day is expected to be 0.07 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.42.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict West Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that West Texas' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

West Texas Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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West Texas Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting West Texas' Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. West Texas' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0008 and 25.89, respectively. We have considered West Texas' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.08
0.0008
Downside
0.07
Expected Value
25.89
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of West Texas pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent West Texas pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0045
MADMean absolute deviation0.0241
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.189
SAESum of the absolute errors1.4235
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past West Texas observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older West Texas Resources observations.

Predictive Modules for West Texas

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as West Texas Resources. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of West Texas' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.0825.90
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0825.90
Details

Other Forecasting Options for West Texas

For every potential investor in West, whether a beginner or expert, West Texas' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. West Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in West. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying West Texas' price trends.

West Texas Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with West Texas pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of West Texas could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing West Texas by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

West Texas Resources Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of West Texas' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of West Texas' current price.

West Texas Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how West Texas pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading West Texas shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying West Texas pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify West Texas Resources entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

West Texas Risk Indicators

The analysis of West Texas' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in West Texas' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting west pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with West Texas

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if West Texas position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in West Texas will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving against West Pink Sheet

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The ability to find closely correlated positions to West Texas could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace West Texas when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back West Texas - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling West Texas Resources to buy it.
The correlation of West Texas is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as West Texas moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if West Texas Resources moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for West Texas can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Additional Tools for West Pink Sheet Analysis

When running West Texas' price analysis, check to measure West Texas' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy West Texas is operating at the current time. Most of West Texas' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of West Texas' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move West Texas' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of West Texas to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.