WW International Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

WW Stock  USD 22.79  0.67  3.03%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of WW International Common on the next trading day is expected to be 18.08 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.55 and the sum of the absolute errors of 94.50. WW International Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, the value of RSI of WW International's share price is approaching 40. This entails that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling WW International, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 40

 Sell Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of WW International's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of WW International and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from WW International's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with WW International Common, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using WW International hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of WW International Common from the perspective of WW International response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of WW International Common on the next trading day is expected to be 18.08 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.55 and the sum of the absolute errors of 94.50.

WW International after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 22.79  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of WW International to cross-verify your projections.

WW International Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine WW International price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for WW International using various technical indicators. When you analyze WW International charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for WW International is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of WW International Common value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

WW International Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 23rd of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of WW International Common on the next trading day is expected to be 18.08 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.55, mean absolute percentage error of 3.70, and the sum of the absolute errors of 94.50.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict WW International Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that WW International's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

WW International Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest WW InternationalWW International Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

WW International Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting WW International's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. WW International's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 12.25 and 23.92, respectively. We have considered WW International's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
22.79
18.08
Expected Value
23.92
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of WW International stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent WW International stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria119.42
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation1.5491
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.057
SAESum of the absolute errors94.497
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of WW International Common. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict WW International. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for WW International

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as WW International Common. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of WW International's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
16.9622.7928.62
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
15.4921.3227.15
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
21.1528.2135.27
Details

WW International After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of WW International at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in WW International or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of WW International, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

WW International Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting WW International's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on WW International's historical news coverage. WW International's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 16.96 and 28.62, respectively. We have considered WW International's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
22.79
22.79
After-hype Price
28.62
Upside
WW International is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of WW International Common is based on 3 months time horizon.

WW International Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as WW International is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading WW International backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with WW International, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.42 
5.83
 0.00  
  0.01 
0 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
Any time
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
22.79
22.79
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

WW International Hype Timeline

As of January 22, 2026 WW International Common is listed for 22.79. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.01. WW International is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.42%. %. The volatility of related hype on WW International is about 38866.67%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 22.78. About 61.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 0.69. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. WW International Common recorded earning per share (EPS) of 13.55. The entity last dividend was issued on the 25th of September 2013. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be any time.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of WW International to cross-verify your projections.

WW International Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to WW International's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict WW International's future price movements. Getting to know how WW International's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how WW International may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
EMPDEmpery Digital 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.16) 5.53 (9.18) 20.15 
HLLYHolley Inc 0.00 0 per month 1.85  0.12  5.51 (3.70) 38.65 
INVZInnoviz Technologies 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.16) 6.14 (7.48) 34.74 
CALCaleres 0.00 0 per month 3.49 (0) 8.13 (5.59) 16.42 
HVTHaverty Furniture Companies 0.00 0 per month 1.18  0.18  4.57 (2.43) 10.49 
MPAAMotorcar Parts of 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.10) 4.16 (3.90) 29.87 
GCOGenesco 0.00 0 per month 6.04  0.05  8.14 (4.04) 39.13 
NIUNiu Technologies 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.16) 5.50 (6.94) 15.96 
BNEDBarnes Noble Education(0.15)9 per month 3.09  0.01  4.69 (5.18) 42.63 
MCFTMCBC Holdings 0.00 0 per month 2.19 (0.04) 4.21 (4.27) 12.82 

Other Forecasting Options for WW International

For every potential investor in WW International, whether a beginner or expert, WW International's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. WW International Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in WW International. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying WW International's price trends.

WW International Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with WW International stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of WW International could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing WW International by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

WW International Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how WW International stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading WW International shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying WW International stock market strength indicators, traders can identify WW International Common entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

WW International Risk Indicators

The analysis of WW International's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in WW International's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting ww international stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for WW International

The number of cover stories for WW International depends on current market conditions and WW International's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that WW International is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about WW International's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

WW International Short Properties

WW International's future price predictability will typically decrease when WW International's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of WW International Common often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential WW International's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. WW International's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding79.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments53 M

Additional Tools for WW International Stock Analysis

When running WW International's price analysis, check to measure WW International's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy WW International is operating at the current time. Most of WW International's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of WW International's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move WW International's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of WW International to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.