Teton Westwood Mutual Fund Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

Teton Westwood Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Teton price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Teton using various technical indicators. When you analyze Teton charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur. Teton Westwood simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Teton Westwood Small are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Teton Westwood Small prices get older.

Teton Westwood Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 23rd of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Teton Westwood Small on the next trading day is expected to be 25.20 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.21, mean absolute percentage error of 0.13, and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.65.

Teton Westwood Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern

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Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Teton Westwood mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Teton Westwood mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality. This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Teton Westwood Small forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Teton Westwood observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Teton Westwood

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Teton Westwood Small. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 23.51 25.20 26.89 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 24.90 26.59 28.28 Details

Bollinger Band Projection (param) Low Middle High 22.24 23.70 25.16 Details

Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Teton Westwood. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Teton Westwood's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Teton Westwood's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Teton Westwood Small.

Teton Westwood After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

Teton Westwood Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Teton Westwood Mutual Fund Price Prediction Analysis

Teton Westwood Hype Timeline

Teton Westwood Small is at this time traded for 25.20. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.62. Teton is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.41%. %. The volatility of related hype on Teton Westwood is about 111.29%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 25.82. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 1.61. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. Teton Westwood Small last dividend was issued on the 26th of November 2019. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be any time. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Teton Westwood to cross-verify your projections.

Teton Westwood Related Hype Analysis

Other Forecasting Options for Teton Westwood

For every potential investor in Teton, whether a beginner or expert, Teton Westwood's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Teton Mutual Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Teton. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Teton Westwood's price trends.

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