National Health Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing
| WX6 Stock | EUR 64.61 0.49 0.75% |
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of National Health Investors on the next trading day is expected to be 64.36 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.86 and the sum of the absolute errors of 50.73. National Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of National Health's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
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National Health Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 7th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of National Health Investors on the next trading day is expected to be 64.36 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.86, mean absolute percentage error of 1.15, and the sum of the absolute errors of 50.73.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict National Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that National Health's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
National Health Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest National Health | National Health Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of National Health stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent National Health stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0949 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.8599 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0123 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 50.7343 |
Predictive Modules for National Health
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as National Health Investors. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.National Health Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with National Health stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of National Health could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing National Health by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
National Health Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how National Health stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading National Health shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying National Health stock market strength indicators, traders can identify National Health Investors entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
National Health Risk Indicators
The analysis of National Health's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in National Health's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting national stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.12 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.37 | |||
| Variance | 1.87 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
| EBR | Centrais Electricas Brasileiras | |
| HE | Hawaiian Electric Industries | |
| VFC | VF Corporation | |
| BVHMF | Vistry Group PLC | |
| S | SentinelOne |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in National Stock
When determining whether National Health Investors offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of National Health's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of National Health Investors Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on National Health Investors Stock:Check out Your Current Watchlist to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors. You can also try the Portfolio Center module to all portfolio management and optimization tools to improve performance of your portfolios.