Anoma Crypto Coin Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing

XAN Crypto  USD 0.01  0.0005  3.97%   
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Anoma on the next trading day is expected to be 0.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.12. Anoma Crypto Coin Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Anoma crypto prices and determine the direction of Anoma's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Anoma's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the rsi of Anoma's share price is below 20 . This entails that the crypto coin is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Anoma's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Anoma, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Anoma hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Anoma from the perspective of Anoma response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Anoma on the next trading day is expected to be 0.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.12.

Anoma after-hype prediction price

    
  .CC 0.01  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as crypto price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Anoma to cross-verify your projections.

Anoma Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Anoma price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Anoma using various technical indicators. When you analyze Anoma charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for Anoma works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

Anoma Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 25th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Anoma on the next trading day is expected to be 0.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0.000018, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.12.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Anoma Crypto Coin prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Anoma's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Anoma Crypto Coin Forecast Pattern

Anoma Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Anoma's Crypto Coin value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Anoma's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0001 and 14.33, respectively. We have considered Anoma's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.01
0.0001
Downside
0.01
Expected Value
14.33
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Anoma crypto coin data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Anoma crypto coin, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -6.0E-4
MADMean absolute deviation0.0021
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0773
SAESum of the absolute errors0.1235
When Anoma prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any Anoma trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent Anoma observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Anoma

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Anoma. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the crypto coin market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the crypto coin market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.0114.33
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0114.33
Details

Anoma After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Anoma at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Anoma or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Crypto Coin prices, such as prices of Anoma, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Anoma Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Anoma's crypto coin value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Anoma's historical news coverage. Anoma's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 14.33, respectively. We have considered Anoma's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.01
0.01
After-hype Price
14.33
Upside
Anoma is abnormally risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Anoma is based on 3 months time horizon.

Anoma Crypto Coin Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Cryptocurrency such as Anoma is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Anoma backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Crypto price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Anoma, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  1.16 
14.32
 0.00  
  0.06 
1 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
Very soon
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.01
0.01
17.36 
2,045,714  
Notes

Anoma Hype Timeline

Anoma is at this time traded for 0.01. This cryptocurrency is not elastic to its hype. The average crypto elasticity to the hype of similar coins is 0.06. Anoma is estimated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 0.01. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price drop on the next news is expected to be -17.36%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -1.16%. The volatility of related hype on Anoma is about 30155.3%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.07. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next estimated press release will be very soon.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Anoma to cross-verify your projections.

Anoma Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Anoma's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Anoma's future price movements. Getting to know how Anoma's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Anoma may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Other Forecasting Options for Anoma

For every potential investor in Anoma, whether a beginner or expert, Anoma's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Anoma Crypto Coin price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Anoma. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Anoma's price trends.

Anoma Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Anoma crypto coin to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Anoma could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Anoma by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Anoma Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Anoma crypto coin reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Anoma shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Anoma crypto coin market strength indicators, traders can identify Anoma entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Anoma Risk Indicators

The analysis of Anoma's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Anoma's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting anoma crypto coin prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Anoma

The number of cover stories for Anoma depends on current market conditions and Anoma's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Anoma is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Anoma's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
When determining whether Anoma offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Anoma's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Anoma Crypto.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Anoma to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Stock Screener module to find equities using a custom stock filter or screen asymmetry in trading patterns, price, volume, or investment outlook..
Please note, there is a significant difference between Anoma's coin value and its market price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Cryptocurrency investors typically determine Anoma value by looking at such factors as its true mass adoption, usability, application, safety as well as its ability to resist fraud and manipulation. On the other hand, Anoma's price is the amount at which it trades on the cryptocurrency exchange or other digital marketplace that truly represents its supply and demand.