CAIXA ETF Etf Forecast - Simple Moving Average

XBOV11 Etf  BRL 123.27  1.04  0.85%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of CAIXA ETF Ibovespa on the next trading day is expected to be 123.27 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.83 and the sum of the absolute errors of 49.11. CAIXA Etf Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast CAIXA ETF stock prices and determine the direction of CAIXA ETF Ibovespa's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of CAIXA ETF's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A two period moving average forecast for CAIXA ETF is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

CAIXA ETF Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 1st of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of CAIXA ETF Ibovespa on the next trading day is expected to be 123.27 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.83, mean absolute percentage error of 1.16, and the sum of the absolute errors of 49.11.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict CAIXA Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that CAIXA ETF's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

CAIXA ETF Etf Forecast Pattern

CAIXA ETF Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting CAIXA ETF's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. CAIXA ETF's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 122.46 and 124.08, respectively. We have considered CAIXA ETF's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
123.27
122.46
Downside
123.27
Expected Value
124.08
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of CAIXA ETF etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent CAIXA ETF etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria114.585
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.2425
MADMean absolute deviation0.8324
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0065
SAESum of the absolute errors49.11
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of CAIXA ETF Ibovespa price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of CAIXA ETF. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for CAIXA ETF

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CAIXA ETF Ibovespa. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
122.46123.27124.08
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
116.76117.57135.60
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
121.85124.96128.06
Details

Other Forecasting Options for CAIXA ETF

For every potential investor in CAIXA, whether a beginner or expert, CAIXA ETF's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. CAIXA Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in CAIXA. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying CAIXA ETF's price trends.

CAIXA ETF Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with CAIXA ETF etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of CAIXA ETF could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing CAIXA ETF by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

CAIXA ETF Ibovespa Technical and Predictive Analytics

The etf market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of CAIXA ETF's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of CAIXA ETF's current price.

CAIXA ETF Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how CAIXA ETF etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading CAIXA ETF shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying CAIXA ETF etf market strength indicators, traders can identify CAIXA ETF Ibovespa entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

CAIXA ETF Risk Indicators

The analysis of CAIXA ETF's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in CAIXA ETF's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting caixa etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in CAIXA Etf

CAIXA ETF financial ratios help investors to determine whether CAIXA Etf is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in CAIXA with respect to the benefits of owning CAIXA ETF security.