Cable One Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing

XC1 Stock  EUR 83.50  2.50  2.91%   
Cable Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Cable One's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 7th of February 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of Cable One's share price is below 20 . This entails that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Cable One's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Cable One and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Cable One's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Cable One, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Cable One's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.915
Wall Street Target Price
2.2 K
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.04)
Using Cable One hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Cable One from the perspective of Cable One response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Cable One on the next trading day is expected to be 83.50 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.14 and the sum of the absolute errors of 188.50.

Cable One after-hype prediction price

    
  EUR 83.11  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Cable One to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Cable Stock please use our How to Invest in Cable One guide.

Cable One Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Cable price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Cable using various technical indicators. When you analyze Cable charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Cable One simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Cable One are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Cable One prices get older.

Cable One Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 8th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Cable One on the next trading day is expected to be 83.50 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.14, mean absolute percentage error of 15.85, and the sum of the absolute errors of 188.50.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Cable Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Cable One's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Cable One Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Cable One  Cable One Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Cable One Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Cable One's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Cable One's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 78.89 and 88.11, respectively. We have considered Cable One's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
83.50
83.50
Expected Value
88.11
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Cable One stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Cable One stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria119.0361
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.475
MADMean absolute deviation3.1417
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0356
SAESum of the absolute errors188.5
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Cable One forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Cable One observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Cable One

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cable One. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
78.5083.1187.72
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
64.0668.6791.85
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
57.6488.77119.90
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
10.9112.6014.55
Details

Cable One After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Cable One at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Cable One or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Cable One, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Cable One Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Cable One's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Cable One's historical news coverage. Cable One's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 78.50 and 87.72, respectively. We have considered Cable One's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
83.50
83.11
After-hype Price
87.72
Upside
Cable One is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Cable One is based on 3 months time horizon.

Cable One Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Cable One is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Cable One backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Cable One, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.39 
4.61
  0.39 
  0.02 
6 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
In about 6 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
83.50
83.11
0.47 
461.00  
Notes

Cable One Hype Timeline

Cable One is at this time traded for 83.50on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.39, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.02. Cable is estimated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 83.11. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price reduction on the next news is expected to be -0.47%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.39%. The volatility of related hype on Cable One is about 11525.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 83.52. About 90.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 0.4. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. Cable One recorded a loss per share of 68.43. The entity last dividend was issued on the 18th of February 2025. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 6 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Cable One to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Cable Stock please use our How to Invest in Cable One guide.

Cable One Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Cable One's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Cable One's future price movements. Getting to know how Cable One's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Cable One may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
5PMAGREENX METALS LTD 0.02 5 per month 3.11  0.07  7.55 (6.12) 27.62 
P4QPerseus Mining Limited(0.03)6 per month 3.31  0.07  4.45 (3.40) 16.53 
FJZZijin Mining Group 0.08 7 per month 3.38  0.06  5.77 (5.35) 21.12 
PZXPing An Insurance 0.03 4 per month 1.23  0.12  3.30 (2.39) 8.69 
PCHPSERI INDUSTRIAL EO 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.04) 8.87 (4.55) 27.80 
8SX0BLUE MOON METALS(0.08)4 per month 3.93  0.12  9.16 (7.69) 21.45 
NRMINSURANCE AUST GRP 0.00 7 per month 0.79 (0.07) 1.87 (1.84) 5.96 
HAMHarmony Gold Mining 0.30 7 per month 3.73  0.05  6.70 (6.23) 20.66 

Other Forecasting Options for Cable One

For every potential investor in Cable, whether a beginner or expert, Cable One's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Cable Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Cable. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Cable One's price trends.

Cable One Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Cable One stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Cable One could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Cable One by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Cable One Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Cable One stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Cable One shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Cable One stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Cable One entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Cable One Risk Indicators

The analysis of Cable One's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Cable One's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting cable stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Cable One

The number of cover stories for Cable One depends on current market conditions and Cable One's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Cable One is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Cable One's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
When determining whether Cable One offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Cable One's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Cable One Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Cable One Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Cable One to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Cable Stock please use our How to Invest in Cable One guide.
You can also try the Balance Of Power module to check stock momentum by analyzing Balance Of Power indicator and other technical ratios.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Cable One's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Cable One is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. In contrast, Cable One's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.