X-FAB Silicon Stock Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average
| XFB Stock | 4.35 0.05 1.16% |
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of X FAB Silicon Foundries on the next trading day is expected to be 4.28 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.20 and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.71. X-FAB Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
X-FAB |
X-FAB Silicon 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 28th of November
Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of X FAB Silicon Foundries on the next trading day is expected to be 4.28 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.20, mean absolute percentage error of 0.07, and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.71.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict X-FAB Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that X-FAB Silicon's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
X-FAB Silicon Stock Forecast Pattern
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X-FAB Silicon Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting X-FAB Silicon's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. X-FAB Silicon's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.97 and 7.59, respectively. We have considered X-FAB Silicon's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of X-FAB Silicon stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent X-FAB Silicon stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 102.5608 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0556 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1984 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0429 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 10.7125 |
Predictive Modules for X-FAB Silicon
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as X FAB Silicon. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of X-FAB Silicon's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for X-FAB Silicon
For every potential investor in X-FAB, whether a beginner or expert, X-FAB Silicon's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. X-FAB Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in X-FAB. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying X-FAB Silicon's price trends.X-FAB Silicon Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with X-FAB Silicon stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of X-FAB Silicon could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing X-FAB Silicon by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
X FAB Silicon Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of X-FAB Silicon's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of X-FAB Silicon's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
X-FAB Silicon Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how X-FAB Silicon stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading X-FAB Silicon shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying X-FAB Silicon stock market strength indicators, traders can identify X FAB Silicon Foundries entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
X-FAB Silicon Risk Indicators
The analysis of X-FAB Silicon's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in X-FAB Silicon's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting x-fab stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.28 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.27 | |||
| Variance | 10.66 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Additional Tools for X-FAB Stock Analysis
When running X-FAB Silicon's price analysis, check to measure X-FAB Silicon's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy X-FAB Silicon is operating at the current time. Most of X-FAB Silicon's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of X-FAB Silicon's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move X-FAB Silicon's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of X-FAB Silicon to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.