General American Mutual Fund Forward View - Triple Exponential Smoothing

General American Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine General price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for General using various technical indicators. When you analyze General charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur. Triple exponential smoothing for General American - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When General American prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in General American price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of General American Inv.

General American Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 1st of March

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of General American Investors on the next trading day is expected to be 69.79 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.34, mean absolute percentage error of 0.19, and the sum of the absolute errors of 20.43.

General American Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern

General American Forecasted Value

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of General American mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent General American mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality. As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past General American observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older General American Investors observations.

Predictive Modules for General American

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as General American Inv. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 68.99 69.64 70.29 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 62.68 75.11 75.76 Details

Bollinger Band Projection (param) Low Middle High 49.00 69.13 70.14 Details

General American Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

General American Mutual Fund Price Outlook Analysis

Notes

General American Hype Timeline

General American Inv is at this time traded for 69.64. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.66. General is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.12%. %. The volatility of related hype on General American is about 11.86%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 70.30. The company last dividend was issued on the 2nd of February 1970. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next expected press release will be any time. Check out fundamental analysis of General American to check your projections.

General American Related Hype Analysis

Other Forecasting Options for General American

For every potential investor in General, whether a beginner or expert, General American's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. General Mutual Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in General. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying General American's price trends.

General American Related Equities

Risk & Return

Correlation

General American Market Strength Events

General American Risk Indicators

Story Coverage note for General American

Other Macroaxis Stories

Other Information on Investing in General Mutual Fund