TEN Holdings Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| XHLD Stock | 1.31 0.08 5.76% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of TEN Holdings Common on the next trading day is expected to be 1.67 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.22 and the sum of the absolute errors of 13.30. TEN Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast TEN Holdings stock prices and determine the direction of TEN Holdings Common's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of TEN Holdings' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the relative strength momentum indicator of TEN Holdings' share price is below 20 . This entails that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Current Year (0.14) | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.11 | Wall Street Target Price 8 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.34) |
Using TEN Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of TEN Holdings Common from the perspective of TEN Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of TEN Holdings Common on the next trading day is expected to be 1.67 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.22 and the sum of the absolute errors of 13.30. TEN Holdings after-hype prediction price | USD 1.31 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of TEN Holdings to cross-verify your projections. TEN Holdings Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine TEN price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for TEN using various technical indicators. When you analyze TEN charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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TEN Holdings Cash Forecast
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the TEN Holdings' financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
Cash | First Reported 2010-12-31 | Previous Quarter 55.2 K | Current Value 52.4 K | Quarterly Volatility 84.7 K |
TEN Holdings Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 26th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of TEN Holdings Common on the next trading day is expected to be 1.67 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.22, mean absolute percentage error of 0.08, and the sum of the absolute errors of 13.30.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict TEN Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that TEN Holdings' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
TEN Holdings Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest TEN Holdings | TEN Holdings Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
TEN Holdings Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting TEN Holdings' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. TEN Holdings' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 12.25, respectively. We have considered TEN Holdings' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of TEN Holdings stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent TEN Holdings stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.5516 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2181 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0914 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 13.3046 |
Predictive Modules for TEN Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as TEN Holdings Common. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.TEN Holdings After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of TEN Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in TEN Holdings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of TEN Holdings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
TEN Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting TEN Holdings' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on TEN Holdings' historical news coverage. TEN Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.07 and 11.97, respectively. We have considered TEN Holdings' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
TEN Holdings is abnormally volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of TEN Holdings Common is based on 3 months time horizon.
TEN Holdings Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as TEN Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading TEN Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with TEN Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.36 | 10.58 | 0.11 | 0.20 | 6 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
1.31 | 1.31 | 0.00 |
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TEN Holdings Hype Timeline
TEN Holdings Common is at this time traded for 1.31. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.11, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.2. TEN is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -1.36%. %. The volatility of related hype on TEN Holdings is about 7296.55%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.11. About 87.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 1.03. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. TEN Holdings Common recorded a loss per share of 0.26. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in about 6 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of TEN Holdings to cross-verify your projections.TEN Holdings Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to TEN Holdings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict TEN Holdings' future price movements. Getting to know how TEN Holdings' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how TEN Holdings may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BBGI | Beasley Broadcast Group | 0.07 | 10 per month | 8.64 | 0.08 | 11.96 | (16.18) | 359.13 | |
| KRKR | 36Kr Holdings | (0.11) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 7.37 | (7.36) | 27.42 | |
| DRCT | Direct Digital Holdings | (1.54) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 11.73 | (15.18) | 73.45 | |
| TNMG | TNL Mediagene Ordinary | (0.08) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 20.41 | (11.78) | 77.19 | |
| ZNB | Zeta Network Group | 0.07 | 15 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 8.54 | (10.17) | 90.82 | |
| PCLA | PicoCELA American Depositary | 0.17 | 5 per month | 8.95 | 0.02 | 9.68 | (19.23) | 236.11 | |
| FTRK | FAST TRACK GROUP | 0.02 | 5 per month | 7.29 | 0.09 | 18.07 | (11.76) | 48.76 | |
| CPOP | Pop Culture Group | (0.02) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 7.14 | (7.02) | 31.15 | |
| DKI | DarkIris Class A | (0.04) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 12.82 | (10.00) | 27.80 | |
| LDWY | Lendway | 0.01 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 9.54 | (11.89) | 40.34 |
Other Forecasting Options for TEN Holdings
For every potential investor in TEN, whether a beginner or expert, TEN Holdings' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. TEN Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in TEN. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying TEN Holdings' price trends.TEN Holdings Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with TEN Holdings stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of TEN Holdings could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing TEN Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
TEN Holdings Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how TEN Holdings stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading TEN Holdings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying TEN Holdings stock market strength indicators, traders can identify TEN Holdings Common entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
TEN Holdings Risk Indicators
The analysis of TEN Holdings' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in TEN Holdings' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting ten stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 6.79 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 10.31 | |||
| Variance | 106.27 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for TEN Holdings
The number of cover stories for TEN Holdings depends on current market conditions and TEN Holdings' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that TEN Holdings is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about TEN Holdings' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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TEN Holdings Short Properties
TEN Holdings' future price predictability will typically decrease when TEN Holdings' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of TEN Holdings Common often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential TEN Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. TEN Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 48 K |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of TEN Holdings to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Manager module to state of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital.
Is Advertising space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of TEN Holdings. If investors know TEN will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about TEN Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.26) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.34) | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
The market value of TEN Holdings Common is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of TEN that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of TEN Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is TEN Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because TEN Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect TEN Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between TEN Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if TEN Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, TEN Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.