Tekla Healthcare Mutual Fund Forecast - Simple Moving Average

XHQHX Fund  USD 19.24  0.04  0.21%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Tekla Healthcare Investors on the next trading day is expected to be 19.24 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.16 and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.62. Tekla Mutual Fund Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A two period moving average forecast for Tekla Healthcare is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Tekla Healthcare Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 12th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Tekla Healthcare Investors on the next trading day is expected to be 19.24 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.16, mean absolute percentage error of 0.05, and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.62.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Tekla Mutual Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Tekla Healthcare's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Tekla Healthcare Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern

Tekla Healthcare Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Tekla Healthcare's Mutual Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Tekla Healthcare's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 18.30 and 20.18, respectively. We have considered Tekla Healthcare's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
19.24
19.24
Expected Value
20.18
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Tekla Healthcare mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Tekla Healthcare mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria113.2394
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0376
MADMean absolute deviation0.1604
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0081
SAESum of the absolute errors9.625
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Tekla Healthcare Investors price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Tekla Healthcare. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Tekla Healthcare

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tekla Healthcare Inv. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
18.3019.2420.18
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
18.4119.3520.29
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
18.6419.0519.46
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Tekla Healthcare. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Tekla Healthcare's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Tekla Healthcare's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Tekla Healthcare Inv.

Other Forecasting Options for Tekla Healthcare

For every potential investor in Tekla, whether a beginner or expert, Tekla Healthcare's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Tekla Mutual Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Tekla. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Tekla Healthcare's price trends.

Tekla Healthcare Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Tekla Healthcare mutual fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Tekla Healthcare could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Tekla Healthcare by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Tekla Healthcare Inv Technical and Predictive Analytics

The mutual fund market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Tekla Healthcare's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Tekla Healthcare's current price.

Tekla Healthcare Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Tekla Healthcare mutual fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Tekla Healthcare shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Tekla Healthcare mutual fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Tekla Healthcare Investors entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Tekla Healthcare Risk Indicators

The analysis of Tekla Healthcare's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Tekla Healthcare's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting tekla mutual fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Tekla Mutual Fund

Tekla Healthcare financial ratios help investors to determine whether Tekla Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Tekla with respect to the benefits of owning Tekla Healthcare security.
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