STOMO MITSUI Stock Forward View
| XMF Stock | 29.81 0.52 1.78% |
STOMO Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
The relative strength momentum indicator of STOMO MITSUI's stock price is slightly above 62. This entails that the stock is rather overbought by investors at this time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling STOMO, making its price go up or down. Momentum 62
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using STOMO MITSUI hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of STOMO MITSUI FINL from the perspective of STOMO MITSUI response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of STOMO MITSUI FINL on the next trading day is expected to be 28.82 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.43 and the sum of the absolute errors of 26.63. STOMO MITSUI after-hype prediction price | EUR 29.81 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
STOMO |
STOMO MITSUI Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine STOMO price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for STOMO using various technical indicators. When you analyze STOMO charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
STOMO MITSUI Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 5th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of STOMO MITSUI FINL on the next trading day is expected to be 28.82 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.43, mean absolute percentage error of 0.29, and the sum of the absolute errors of 26.63.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict STOMO Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that STOMO MITSUI's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
STOMO MITSUI Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest STOMO MITSUI | STOMO MITSUI Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
STOMO MITSUI Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting STOMO MITSUI's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. STOMO MITSUI's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 26.69 and 30.96, respectively. We have considered STOMO MITSUI's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of STOMO MITSUI stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent STOMO MITSUI stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.7038 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.4295 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0157 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 26.6276 |
Predictive Modules for STOMO MITSUI
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as STOMO MITSUI FINL. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of STOMO MITSUI's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
STOMO MITSUI After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of STOMO MITSUI at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in STOMO MITSUI or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of STOMO MITSUI, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
STOMO MITSUI Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting STOMO MITSUI's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on STOMO MITSUI's historical news coverage. STOMO MITSUI's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 27.67 and 31.95, respectively. We have considered STOMO MITSUI's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
STOMO MITSUI is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of STOMO MITSUI FINL is based on 3 months time horizon.
STOMO MITSUI Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as STOMO MITSUI is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading STOMO MITSUI backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with STOMO MITSUI, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.42 | 2.14 | 0.00 | 0.09 | 0 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | Any time |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
29.81 | 29.81 | 0.00 |
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STOMO MITSUI Hype Timeline
STOMO MITSUI FINL is at this time traded for 29.81on Stuttgart Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.09. STOMO is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.42%. %. The volatility of related hype on STOMO MITSUI is about 981.65%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 29.90. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 1.31. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. STOMO MITSUI FINL has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.46. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 3:1 split on the 27th of September 2024. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next anticipated press release will be any time. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of STOMO MITSUI to cross-verify your projections.STOMO MITSUI Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to STOMO MITSUI's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict STOMO MITSUI's future price movements. Getting to know how STOMO MITSUI's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how STOMO MITSUI may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ABL | Abbott Laboratories | 2.03 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 1.91 | (2.11) | 14.56 | |
| AMD | Advanced Micro Devices | (6.92) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 6.13 | (5.57) | 14.59 | |
| 4I1 | Philip Morris International | (2.50) | 2 per month | 1.24 | 0.13 | 2.89 | (2.55) | 7.67 | |
| AMG | Amgen Inc | 9.90 | 9 per month | 1.52 | 0.1 | 3.80 | (2.96) | 12.15 | |
| HK2C | Hong Kong Exchanges | (0.17) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 1.49 | (1.85) | 5.73 | |
| SEH | SHIN ETSU CHEMICAL | 0.09 | 3 per month | 2.07 | 0.01 | 3.15 | (3.90) | 10.05 | |
| DP4B | AP Mller | 0.00 | 1 per month | 1.25 | 0.06 | 2.57 | (2.61) | 7.59 | |
| FPMB | FREEPORT MCMORAN | 0.00 | 8 per month | 1.61 | 0.14 | 3.93 | (3.78) | 9.65 | |
| XMF | STOMO MITSUI FINL | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.47 | 0.17 | 3.99 | (2.90) | 12.10 | |
| SCL | Schlumberger Limited | (0.25) | 2 per month | 1.53 | 0.19 | 4.95 | (3.02) | 11.90 |
Other Forecasting Options for STOMO MITSUI
For every potential investor in STOMO, whether a beginner or expert, STOMO MITSUI's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. STOMO Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in STOMO. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying STOMO MITSUI's price trends.STOMO MITSUI Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with STOMO MITSUI stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of STOMO MITSUI could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing STOMO MITSUI by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
STOMO MITSUI Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how STOMO MITSUI stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading STOMO MITSUI shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying STOMO MITSUI stock market strength indicators, traders can identify STOMO MITSUI FINL entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
STOMO MITSUI Risk Indicators
The analysis of STOMO MITSUI's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in STOMO MITSUI's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting stomo stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.41 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.47 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.04 | |||
| Variance | 4.16 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.4 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.15 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.56) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for STOMO MITSUI
The number of cover stories for STOMO MITSUI depends on current market conditions and STOMO MITSUI's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that STOMO MITSUI is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about STOMO MITSUI's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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STOMO MITSUI Short Properties
STOMO MITSUI's future price predictability will typically decrease when STOMO MITSUI's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of STOMO MITSUI FINL often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential STOMO MITSUI's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. STOMO MITSUI's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 3.9 B | |
| Dividends Paid | -412.1 B |
Additional Tools for STOMO Stock Analysis
When running STOMO MITSUI's price analysis, check to measure STOMO MITSUI's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy STOMO MITSUI is operating at the current time. Most of STOMO MITSUI's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of STOMO MITSUI's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move STOMO MITSUI's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of STOMO MITSUI to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.