ENN Energy Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction

XNGSY Stock  USD 26.80  0.41  1.55%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of ENN Energy Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 24.68 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 60.88. ENN Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A naive forecasting model for ENN Energy is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of ENN Energy Holdings value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

ENN Energy Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 27th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of ENN Energy Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 24.68 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.00, mean absolute percentage error of 1.43, and the sum of the absolute errors of 60.88.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict ENN Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that ENN Energy's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

ENN Energy Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest ENN EnergyENN Energy Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

ENN Energy Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting ENN Energy's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. ENN Energy's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 21.09 and 28.26, respectively. We have considered ENN Energy's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
26.80
24.68
Expected Value
28.26
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of ENN Energy pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent ENN Energy pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria118.47
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.998
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.036
SAESum of the absolute errors60.8752
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of ENN Energy Holdings. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict ENN Energy. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for ENN Energy

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ENN Energy Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of ENN Energy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
23.2226.8030.38
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
19.3422.9229.48
Details

Other Forecasting Options for ENN Energy

For every potential investor in ENN, whether a beginner or expert, ENN Energy's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. ENN Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in ENN. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying ENN Energy's price trends.

ENN Energy Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with ENN Energy pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of ENN Energy could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing ENN Energy by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

ENN Energy Holdings Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of ENN Energy's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of ENN Energy's current price.

ENN Energy Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how ENN Energy pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading ENN Energy shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying ENN Energy pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify ENN Energy Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

ENN Energy Risk Indicators

The analysis of ENN Energy's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in ENN Energy's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting enn pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for ENN Pink Sheet Analysis

When running ENN Energy's price analysis, check to measure ENN Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy ENN Energy is operating at the current time. Most of ENN Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of ENN Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move ENN Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of ENN Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.