Expro Group Stock Forward View - 4 Period Moving Average

Key Indicators . 4 Period Moving Average . Stocks USA . 
Stock . Expro Group Holdings
XPRO Stock  USD 15.79  0.00  0.00%   
This 4 Period Moving Average projection for Expro Group is fitted to the equity's recent daily closes. Low error metrics relative to the price level indicate the model fits recent trading behavior well. Older observations carry less weight in the current projection as the price series extends. High SAE relative to the price level signals cumulative forecast drift over the evaluation period. The 4 Period Moving Average model projects Expro Group at 15.62 for the next trading day, below the most recent closing price. This forecast is one analytical input among many and should be assessed in the context of broader analysis.
The four-period moving average forecast for Expro Group Holdings replaces each daily value with the mean of that value and the four preceding closing prices. This smoothing window is wide enough to dampen short-term noise while still responding to recent price shifts in Expro Group.

4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 13th of May 2026

Over a 90-day horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average model forecasts Expro Group at 15.62 for the next trading day, with a mean absolute deviation of 0.53 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.03 , and sum of absolute errors of 29.93 .
This represents a tight forecast with good short-term tracking of Expro Group's price movement. This output is intended for short-term analytical reference.

Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Expro Group  Expro Group Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Forecasted Value

This forecast for Expro Group frames the expected trading range using downside and upside bounds rather than a single point target. The forecast band spans 12.67 to 18.58. The wide range indicates elevated uncertainty in short-term projections.
Market Value
15.79
12.67
Downside
15.62
Expected Value
18.58
Upside
Target Odds

Model Predictive Factors

The table below summarizes the 4 Period Moving Average model's error metrics for Expro Group stock. Lower MAD and MAPE values indicate tighter forecast accuracy. AIC measures relative model quality — lower values indicate less information loss and a better-fitting model. A large Bias suggests systematic over- or under-prediction.
AICAkaike Information Criteria110.0351
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0593
MADMean absolute deviation0.5252
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0312
SAESum of the absolute errors29.9338
The model is suited for higher-volatility price series where a two-period average would be too reactive. It does not extrapolate a trend equation, so its forecasting utility is limited to one or two periods ahead. Tighter error metrics (lower MAD/MAPE) indicate that Expro Group price movement is well-captured by this smoothing window.

Other Forecasting Options for Expro Group

Fibonacci retracement levels applied to Expro Group Stock price swings identify potential support and resistance zones. Extreme price moves in Expro Group occur more frequently than standard risk models assume. Support and resistance levels derived from Expro Group's historical data identify zones where buying or selling pressure has stalled moves. A volume spike without a corresponding price move signals accumulation or distribution ahead of a directional breakout.
Naive Prediction
Simple Exponential Smoothing
Double Exponential Smoothing
Triple Exponential Smoothing
Simple Regression
Polynomial Regression
Simple Moving Average
4 Period Moving Average
8 Period Moving Average
20 Period Moving Average

Expro Group Related Equities

The stocks listed below are peers of Expro Group within the Energy space and offer context for ranking and strength. Return on equity across these peers shows how well each firm turns capital into profit.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Expro Group Market Strength Events

Rate of Change and Momentum readings for Expro Group measure the velocity of recent price moves rather than direction alone. These indicators add context to how recent sessions in Expro Group have behaved. These indicators are most informative when viewed alongside Expro Group's volume profile and volatility measures. The Price Action Indicator distills each session's open-high-low-close into a single directional score for Expro Group.
Accumulation Distribution0.0445
Rate Of Daily Change1.0
Day Median Price15.61
Day Typical Price15.67
Market Facilitation Index0.71
Price Action Indicator0.18
Relative Strength Index44.01

Expro Group Risk Indicators

Standard deviation and variance for Expro Group measure total price dispersion, while semi-deviation isolates only the downside moves. Higher variance relative to sector peers signals that Expro Group's price path has been less predictable over the measured period. Analyzing Expro Group's risk indicators helps explain how recent moves compare with its broader trading range. A narrow gap between mean deviation and standard deviation indicates that Expro Group's return distribution is relatively symmetric.
Mean Deviation2.27
Standard Deviation3.06
Variance9.38
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Expro Group Short Properties

Short-interest data for Expro Group reveals whether bearish conviction in the market is gaining traction. Comparing short sentiment with trend behavior, volume, and the broader market narrative provides a more grounded view.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding115.75 million
Cash And Short Term Investments197.47 million
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