XTI Aerospace Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing
| XTIA Stock | 1.86 0.06 3.12% |
XTI Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast XTI Aerospace stock prices and determine the direction of XTI Aerospace's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of XTI Aerospace's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At this time, The relative strength index (RSI) of XTI Aerospace's share price is at 56. This entails that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling XTI Aerospace, making its price go up or down. Momentum 56
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.32) | EPS Estimate Current Year (2.99) | EPS Estimate Next Year (1.00) | Wall Street Target Price 3 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.42) |
Using XTI Aerospace hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of XTI Aerospace from the perspective of XTI Aerospace response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of XTI Aerospace on the next trading day is expected to be 1.87 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.07 and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.49. XTI Aerospace after-hype prediction price | USD 1.86 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of XTI Aerospace to cross-verify your projections. XTI Aerospace Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine XTI price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for XTI using various technical indicators. When you analyze XTI charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
XTI Aerospace Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 30th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of XTI Aerospace on the next trading day is expected to be 1.87 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.07, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.49.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict XTI Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that XTI Aerospace's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
XTI Aerospace Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest XTI Aerospace | XTI Aerospace Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
XTI Aerospace Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting XTI Aerospace's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. XTI Aerospace's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.02 and 7.85, respectively. We have considered XTI Aerospace's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of XTI Aerospace stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent XTI Aerospace stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0113 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0748 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0486 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 4.4871 |
Predictive Modules for XTI Aerospace
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as XTI Aerospace. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.XTI Aerospace After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of XTI Aerospace at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in XTI Aerospace or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of XTI Aerospace, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
XTI Aerospace Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting XTI Aerospace's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on XTI Aerospace's historical news coverage. XTI Aerospace's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.09 and 7.79, respectively. We have considered XTI Aerospace's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
XTI Aerospace is extremely dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of XTI Aerospace is based on 3 months time horizon.
XTI Aerospace Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as XTI Aerospace is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading XTI Aerospace backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with XTI Aerospace, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.28 | 5.97 | 0.08 | 0.02 | 13 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 13 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
1.86 | 1.86 | 0.00 |
|
XTI Aerospace Hype Timeline
XTI Aerospace is at this time traded for 1.86. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.08, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.02. XTI is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.28%. %. The volatility of related hype on XTI Aerospace is about 8178.08%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.88. The company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 420.62. XTI Aerospace last dividend was issued on the 7th of January 2020. The entity had 1:250 split on the 10th of January 2025. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 13 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of XTI Aerospace to cross-verify your projections.XTI Aerospace Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to XTI Aerospace's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict XTI Aerospace's future price movements. Getting to know how XTI Aerospace's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how XTI Aerospace may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SIDU | Sidus Space | 0.67 | 10 per month | 8.20 | 0.15 | 34.88 | (14.96) | 125.36 | |
| PRZO | ParaZero Technologies Ltd | 0.03 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.01) | 11.20 | (9.60) | 53.90 | |
| CVU | CPI Aerostructures | 0.13 | 2 per month | 3.24 | 0.16 | 11.44 | (6.04) | 24.77 | |
| KITT | Nauticus Robotics | 0.21 | 9 per month | 9.44 | 0.01 | 15.58 | (14.95) | 141.67 | |
| MSW | Ming Shing Group | 0.04 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 13.00 | (14.88) | 31.70 | |
| PXS | Pyxis Tankers | (0.06) | 24 per month | 1.89 | 0.07 | 4.78 | (3.14) | 14.08 | |
| NIXX | Nixxy Inc | (0.01) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 6.90 | (8.41) | 33.17 | |
| TOPS | TOP Ships | (0.11) | 13 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 3.65 | (4.23) | 11.61 | |
| CVV | CVD Equipment | (0.27) | 12 per month | 3.74 | 0.08 | 8.05 | (6.95) | 38.03 | |
| VNTG | Vantage Corp | 0.1 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 6.93 | (7.41) | 22.86 |
Other Forecasting Options for XTI Aerospace
For every potential investor in XTI, whether a beginner or expert, XTI Aerospace's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. XTI Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in XTI. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying XTI Aerospace's price trends.XTI Aerospace Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with XTI Aerospace stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of XTI Aerospace could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing XTI Aerospace by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
XTI Aerospace Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how XTI Aerospace stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading XTI Aerospace shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying XTI Aerospace stock market strength indicators, traders can identify XTI Aerospace entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
XTI Aerospace Risk Indicators
The analysis of XTI Aerospace's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in XTI Aerospace's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting xti stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 4.53 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 4.52 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 5.77 | |||
| Variance | 33.29 | |||
| Downside Variance | 23.72 | |||
| Semi Variance | 20.47 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (5.51) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for XTI Aerospace
The number of cover stories for XTI Aerospace depends on current market conditions and XTI Aerospace's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that XTI Aerospace is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about XTI Aerospace's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
XTI Aerospace Short Properties
XTI Aerospace's future price predictability will typically decrease when XTI Aerospace's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of XTI Aerospace often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential XTI Aerospace's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. XTI Aerospace's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 227.2 K | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 4.1 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of XTI Aerospace to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade XTI Stock refer to our How to Trade XTI Stock guide.You can also try the Global Markets Map module to get a quick overview of global market snapshot using zoomable world map. Drill down to check world indexes.
Is IT Consulting & Other Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of XTI Aerospace. Anticipated expansion of XTI directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive XTI Aerospace assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Earnings Share 420.62 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.42) | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
XTI Aerospace's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on XTI's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate XTI Aerospace's intrinsic value—its true economic worth—which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Since XTI Aerospace's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between XTI Aerospace's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if XTI Aerospace is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, XTI Aerospace's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.