XTL Biopharmaceutica Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

XTLB Stock  USD 0.69  0.03  4.55%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of XTL Biopharmaceuticals Ltd on the next trading day is expected to be 0.67 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.83. XTL Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast XTL Biopharmaceutica stock prices and determine the direction of XTL Biopharmaceuticals Ltd's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of XTL Biopharmaceutica's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, the value of RSI of XTL Biopharmaceutica's share price is approaching 37. This entails that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling XTL Biopharmaceutica, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 37

 Sell Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of XTL Biopharmaceutica's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with XTL Biopharmaceuticals Ltd, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using XTL Biopharmaceutica hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of XTL Biopharmaceuticals Ltd from the perspective of XTL Biopharmaceutica response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of XTL Biopharmaceuticals Ltd on the next trading day is expected to be 0.67 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.83.

XTL Biopharmaceutica after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 0.69  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of XTL Biopharmaceutica to cross-verify your projections.

XTL Biopharmaceutica Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine XTL price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for XTL using various technical indicators. When you analyze XTL charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for XTL Biopharmaceutica is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of XTL Biopharmaceuticals Ltd value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

XTL Biopharmaceutica Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 10th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of XTL Biopharmaceuticals Ltd on the next trading day is expected to be 0.67 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.83.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict XTL Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that XTL Biopharmaceutica's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

XTL Biopharmaceutica Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest XTL BiopharmaceuticaXTL Biopharmaceutica Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

XTL Biopharmaceutica Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting XTL Biopharmaceutica's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. XTL Biopharmaceutica's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 5.32, respectively. We have considered XTL Biopharmaceutica's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.69
0.67
Expected Value
5.32
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of XTL Biopharmaceutica stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent XTL Biopharmaceutica stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria113.3719
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0296
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0346
SAESum of the absolute errors1.833
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of XTL Biopharmaceuticals Ltd. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict XTL Biopharmaceutica. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for XTL Biopharmaceutica

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as XTL Biopharmaceuticals. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.030.695.30
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.030.665.27
Details

Other Forecasting Options for XTL Biopharmaceutica

For every potential investor in XTL, whether a beginner or expert, XTL Biopharmaceutica's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. XTL Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in XTL. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying XTL Biopharmaceutica's price trends.

XTL Biopharmaceutica Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with XTL Biopharmaceutica stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of XTL Biopharmaceutica could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing XTL Biopharmaceutica by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

XTL Biopharmaceuticals Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of XTL Biopharmaceutica's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of XTL Biopharmaceutica's current price.

XTL Biopharmaceutica Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how XTL Biopharmaceutica stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading XTL Biopharmaceutica shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying XTL Biopharmaceutica stock market strength indicators, traders can identify XTL Biopharmaceuticals Ltd entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

XTL Biopharmaceutica Risk Indicators

The analysis of XTL Biopharmaceutica's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in XTL Biopharmaceutica's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting xtl stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether XTL Biopharmaceuticals offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of XTL Biopharmaceutica's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Xtl Biopharmaceuticals Ltd Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Xtl Biopharmaceuticals Ltd Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of XTL Biopharmaceutica to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the USA ETFs module to find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) in USA.
Is Stock space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of XTL Biopharmaceutica. If investors know XTL will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about XTL Biopharmaceutica listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of XTL Biopharmaceuticals is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of XTL that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of XTL Biopharmaceutica's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is XTL Biopharmaceutica's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because XTL Biopharmaceutica's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect XTL Biopharmaceutica's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between XTL Biopharmaceutica's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if XTL Biopharmaceutica is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, XTL Biopharmaceutica's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.