Xtra Energy Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| XTPT Stock | USD 1.06 0.12 12.77% |
Xtra Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Xtra Energy's pink sheet price is slightly above 69. This entails that the pink sheet is rather overbought by investors at this time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Xtra, making its price go up or down. Momentum 69
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Xtra Energy hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Xtra Energy Corp from the perspective of Xtra Energy response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Xtra Energy Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 1.06 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.66. Xtra Energy after-hype prediction price | USD 1.06 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Xtra |
Xtra Energy Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Xtra price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Xtra using various technical indicators. When you analyze Xtra charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Xtra Energy Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 29th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Xtra Energy Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 1.06 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.66.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Xtra Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Xtra Energy's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Xtra Energy Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Xtra Energy | Xtra Energy Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Xtra Energy Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Xtra Energy's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Xtra Energy's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 9.51, respectively. We have considered Xtra Energy's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Xtra Energy pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Xtra Energy pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 110.643 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0128 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0443 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0661 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 2.66 |
Predictive Modules for Xtra Energy
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Xtra Energy Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Xtra Energy After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Xtra Energy at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Xtra Energy or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Xtra Energy, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Xtra Energy Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Xtra Energy's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Xtra Energy's historical news coverage. Xtra Energy's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.05 and 9.47, respectively. We have considered Xtra Energy's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Xtra Energy is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Xtra Energy Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Xtra Energy Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Xtra Energy is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Xtra Energy backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Xtra Energy, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.46 | 8.45 | 1.06 | 0.15 | 5 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 5 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
1.06 | 1.06 | 0.00 |
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Xtra Energy Hype Timeline
Xtra Energy Corp is at this time traded for 1.06. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 1.06, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.15. Xtra is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 75.31%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 1.46%. %. The volatility of related hype on Xtra Energy is about 8450.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.91. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Xtra Energy Corp had 1:1000 split on the 5th of November 2010. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 5 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Xtra Energy to cross-verify your projections.Xtra Energy Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Xtra Energy's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Xtra Energy's future price movements. Getting to know how Xtra Energy's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Xtra Energy may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PUCK | Goal Acquisitions Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 14.26 | |
| AEAE | Altenergy Acquisition Corp | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 36.79 | |
| BYNO | Bynordic Acquisition Corp | (0.90) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.12 | |
| PPYA | Papaya Growth Opportunity | 0.00 | 5 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| NBST | Newbury Street Acquisition | 0.00 | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.01) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| USCTF | Roth CH Acquisition | 0.00 | 0 per month | 6.72 | 0.10 | 4.84 | (9.26) | 156.36 | |
| CSTAF | CSTAF | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.1 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.42 | |
| FKYS | First Keystone Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.76 | 0.08 | 2.72 | (1.57) | 7.39 | |
| AMBK | American Bank | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.55 | 0.06 | 4.22 | (4.00) | 20.22 |
Other Forecasting Options for Xtra Energy
For every potential investor in Xtra, whether a beginner or expert, Xtra Energy's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Xtra Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Xtra. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Xtra Energy's price trends.Xtra Energy Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Xtra Energy pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Xtra Energy could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Xtra Energy by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Xtra Energy Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Xtra Energy pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Xtra Energy shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Xtra Energy pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Xtra Energy Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Xtra Energy Risk Indicators
The analysis of Xtra Energy's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Xtra Energy's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting xtra pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 6.35 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 6.1 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 8.62 | |||
| Variance | 74.3 | |||
| Downside Variance | 50.95 | |||
| Semi Variance | 37.17 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (8.24) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Xtra Energy
The number of cover stories for Xtra Energy depends on current market conditions and Xtra Energy's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Xtra Energy is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Xtra Energy's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Additional Tools for Xtra Pink Sheet Analysis
When running Xtra Energy's price analysis, check to measure Xtra Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Xtra Energy is operating at the current time. Most of Xtra Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Xtra Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Xtra Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Xtra Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.