X Terra Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction

XTRRF Stock  USD 0.34  0.01  3.03%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of X Terra Resources on the next trading day is expected to be 0.46 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.37. XTRRF Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of X Terra's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The relative strength index (RSI) of X Terra's pink sheet price is roughly 69. This entails that the pink sheet is rather overbought by investors as of 22nd of January 2026. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling XTRRF, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 69

 Buy Stretched

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of X Terra's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of X Terra and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from X Terra's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with X Terra Resources, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using X Terra hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of X Terra Resources from the perspective of X Terra response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of X Terra Resources on the next trading day is expected to be 0.46 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.37.

X Terra after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 0.34  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of X Terra to cross-verify your projections.

X Terra Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine XTRRF price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for XTRRF using various technical indicators. When you analyze XTRRF charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for X Terra is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of X Terra Resources value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

X Terra Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 23rd of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of X Terra Resources on the next trading day is expected to be 0.46 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.37.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict XTRRF Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that X Terra's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

X Terra Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest X TerraX Terra Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

X Terra Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting X Terra's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. X Terra's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 65.91, respectively. We have considered X Terra's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.34
0.46
Expected Value
65.91
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of X Terra pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent X Terra pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria111.4423
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0225
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.2833
SAESum of the absolute errors1.3738
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of X Terra Resources. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict X Terra. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for X Terra

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as X Terra Resources. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.020.3467.34
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.2367.23
Details

X Terra After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of X Terra at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in X Terra or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of X Terra, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

X Terra Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting X Terra's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on X Terra's historical news coverage. X Terra's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.02 and 67.34, respectively. We have considered X Terra's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.34
0.34
After-hype Price
67.34
Upside
X Terra is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of X Terra Resources is based on 3 months time horizon.

X Terra Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as X Terra is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading X Terra backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with X Terra, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  8.11 
65.46
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Any time
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.34
0.34
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

X Terra Hype Timeline

X Terra Resources is at this time traded for 0.34. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. XTRRF is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 8.11%. %. The volatility of related hype on X Terra is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.34. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 1.57. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. X Terra Resources recorded a loss per share of 0.01. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 1:7 split on the 8th of February 2023. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next projected press release will be any time.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of X Terra to cross-verify your projections.

X Terra Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to X Terra's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict X Terra's future price movements. Getting to know how X Terra's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how X Terra may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
MAGEMagellan Gold Corp 0.00 0 per month 8.52  0.04  22.22 (15.38) 70.11 
HWKDFHawkeye Gold Diamond 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
BDGCFBlack Dragon Gold 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
MPVDFMountain Province Diamonds 0.00 0 per month 6.77  0.08  25.00 (18.25) 86.67 
TSDRFTsodilo Resources Limited 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.07  10.00  0.00  31.11 
OGGNFOrigen Resources 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.11  0.00  0.00  182.49 
BXXRFExGen Resources 0.00 0 per month 5.85 (0) 10.76 (11.11) 61.72 
CFTNClifton Mining Co 0.00 0 per month 6.36  0.13  21.43 (13.33) 43.33 
GGLXFGGL Resources Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.08  0.00  0.00  19.87 
SWLFFSilver Wolf Exploration 0.00 0 per month 6.35  0.08  16.77 (10.91) 55.86 

Other Forecasting Options for X Terra

For every potential investor in XTRRF, whether a beginner or expert, X Terra's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. XTRRF Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in XTRRF. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying X Terra's price trends.

X Terra Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with X Terra pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of X Terra could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing X Terra by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

X Terra Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how X Terra pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading X Terra shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying X Terra pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify X Terra Resources entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

X Terra Risk Indicators

The analysis of X Terra's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in X Terra's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting xtrrf pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for X Terra

The number of cover stories for X Terra depends on current market conditions and X Terra's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that X Terra is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about X Terra's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

X Terra Short Properties

X Terra's future price predictability will typically decrease when X Terra's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of X Terra Resources often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential X Terra's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. X Terra's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding98.4 M
Shares Float96.7 M

Other Information on Investing in XTRRF Pink Sheet

X Terra financial ratios help investors to determine whether XTRRF Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in XTRRF with respect to the benefits of owning X Terra security.