Interwood Xylemporia Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| XYLEK Stock | EUR 0.24 0.01 4.00% |
Interwood Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Interwood Xylemporia stock prices and determine the direction of Interwood Xylemporia ATENE's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Interwood Xylemporia's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At this time, the value of RSI of Interwood Xylemporia's share price is approaching 47. This entails that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Interwood Xylemporia, making its price go up or down. Momentum 47
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Interwood Xylemporia hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Interwood Xylemporia ATENE from the perspective of Interwood Xylemporia response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Interwood Xylemporia ATENE on the next trading day is expected to be 0.32 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.30. Interwood Xylemporia after-hype prediction price | EUR 0.24 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Interwood |
Interwood Xylemporia Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Interwood price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Interwood using various technical indicators. When you analyze Interwood charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Interwood Xylemporia Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 23rd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Interwood Xylemporia ATENE on the next trading day is expected to be 0.24 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0.000021, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.17.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Interwood Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Interwood Xylemporia's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Interwood Xylemporia Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Interwood Xylemporia | Interwood Xylemporia Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Interwood Xylemporia Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Interwood Xylemporia's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Interwood Xylemporia's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 2.10, respectively. We have considered Interwood Xylemporia's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Interwood Xylemporia stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Interwood Xylemporia stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 105.4796 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 5.0E-4 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0028 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0107 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.166 |
Predictive Modules for Interwood Xylemporia
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Interwood Xylemporia. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Interwood Xylemporia After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Interwood Xylemporia at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Interwood Xylemporia or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Interwood Xylemporia, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Interwood Xylemporia Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Interwood Xylemporia's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Interwood Xylemporia's historical news coverage. Interwood Xylemporia's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.01 and 2.10, respectively. We have considered Interwood Xylemporia's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Interwood Xylemporia is abnormally volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Interwood Xylemporia is based on 3 months time horizon.
Interwood Xylemporia Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Interwood Xylemporia is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Interwood Xylemporia backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Interwood Xylemporia, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.11 | 1.86 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Any time |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0.24 | 0.24 | 0.00 |
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Interwood Xylemporia Hype Timeline
Interwood Xylemporia is at this time traded for 0.24on Athens Exchange of Greece. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Interwood is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.11%. %. The volatility of related hype on Interwood Xylemporia is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.24. About 72.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.22. Interwood Xylemporia last dividend was issued on the 25th of July 2008. The entity had 3:1 split on the 9th of January 2007. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be any time. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Interwood Xylemporia to cross-verify your projections.Interwood Xylemporia Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Interwood Xylemporia's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Interwood Xylemporia's future price movements. Getting to know how Interwood Xylemporia's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Interwood Xylemporia may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| GEBKA | General Commercial Industrial | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.51 | 0.10 | 3.52 | (2.88) | 9.19 | |
| MTLN | Metlen Energy Metals | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 3.69 | (2.82) | 19.98 | |
| OLYMP | Technical Olympic SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.14 | (0.03) | 2.63 | (2.04) | 5.72 | |
| LOGISMOS | Logismos Information Systems | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 2.78 | (1.80) | 12.57 | |
| INLIF | Interlife General Insurance | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.35 | 0.03 | 4.17 | (2.62) | 7.98 | |
| PROF | Profile Systems Software | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 2.94 | (1.89) | 8.43 | |
| ETE | National Bank of | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.58 | 0.04 | 4.98 | (2.78) | 9.50 |
Other Forecasting Options for Interwood Xylemporia
For every potential investor in Interwood, whether a beginner or expert, Interwood Xylemporia's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Interwood Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Interwood. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Interwood Xylemporia's price trends.Interwood Xylemporia Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Interwood Xylemporia stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Interwood Xylemporia could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Interwood Xylemporia by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Interwood Xylemporia Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Interwood Xylemporia stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Interwood Xylemporia shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Interwood Xylemporia stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Interwood Xylemporia ATENE entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Interwood Xylemporia Risk Indicators
The analysis of Interwood Xylemporia's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Interwood Xylemporia's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting interwood stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.9707 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.86 | |||
| Variance | 3.47 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Interwood Xylemporia
The number of cover stories for Interwood Xylemporia depends on current market conditions and Interwood Xylemporia's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Interwood Xylemporia is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Interwood Xylemporia's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in Interwood Stock
Interwood Xylemporia financial ratios help investors to determine whether Interwood Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Interwood with respect to the benefits of owning Interwood Xylemporia security.