YieldMax Bitcoin Etf Forward View - Simple Moving Average

YBIT Etf   23.15  3.68  13.72%   
YieldMax Etf outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength momentum indicator of YieldMax Bitcoin's share price is below 20 . This entails that the etf is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of YieldMax Bitcoin's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with YieldMax Bitcoin Option, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using YieldMax Bitcoin hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of YieldMax Bitcoin Option from the perspective of YieldMax Bitcoin response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards YieldMax Bitcoin using YieldMax Bitcoin's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards YieldMax using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of YieldMax Bitcoin's stock price.

YieldMax Bitcoin Implied Volatility

    
  0.59  
YieldMax Bitcoin's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of YieldMax Bitcoin Option stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if YieldMax Bitcoin's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that YieldMax Bitcoin stock will not fluctuate a lot when YieldMax Bitcoin's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of YieldMax Bitcoin Option on the next trading day is expected to be 24.99 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.78 and the sum of the absolute errors of 46.06.

YieldMax Bitcoin after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 23.21  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of YieldMax Bitcoin to cross-verify your projections.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current YieldMax contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that YieldMax Bitcoin Option will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0369% per day over the life of the 2026-05-15 option contract. With YieldMax Bitcoin trading at USD 23.15, that is roughly USD 0.008537 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating YieldMax Bitcoin's daily price movement you should consider acquiring YieldMax Bitcoin Option options at the current volatility level of 0.59%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.

Open Interest Against 2026-05-15 YieldMax Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast YieldMax Bitcoin's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in YieldMax Bitcoin's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for YieldMax Bitcoin stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current YieldMax Bitcoin's open interest, investors have to compare it to YieldMax Bitcoin's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of YieldMax Bitcoin is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in YieldMax. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

YieldMax Bitcoin Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine YieldMax price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for YieldMax using various technical indicators. When you analyze YieldMax charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A two period moving average forecast for YieldMax Bitcoin is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

YieldMax Bitcoin Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 6th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of YieldMax Bitcoin Option on the next trading day is expected to be 24.99 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.78, mean absolute percentage error of 1.15, and the sum of the absolute errors of 46.06.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict YieldMax Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that YieldMax Bitcoin's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

YieldMax Bitcoin Etf Forecast Pattern

Backtest YieldMax Bitcoin  YieldMax Bitcoin Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

YieldMax Bitcoin Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting YieldMax Bitcoin's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. YieldMax Bitcoin's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 22.49 and 27.49, respectively. We have considered YieldMax Bitcoin's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
23.15
24.99
Expected Value
27.49
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of YieldMax Bitcoin etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent YieldMax Bitcoin etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria114.5788
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.333
MADMean absolute deviation0.7808
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0251
SAESum of the absolute errors46.065
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of YieldMax Bitcoin Option price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of YieldMax Bitcoin. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for YieldMax Bitcoin

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as YieldMax Bitcoin Option. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
20.7123.2125.71
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
19.8422.3424.84
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
28.2932.2736.24
Details

YieldMax Bitcoin After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of YieldMax Bitcoin at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in YieldMax Bitcoin or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of YieldMax Bitcoin, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

YieldMax Bitcoin Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting YieldMax Bitcoin's etf value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on YieldMax Bitcoin's historical news coverage. YieldMax Bitcoin's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 20.71 and 25.71, respectively. We have considered YieldMax Bitcoin's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
23.15
23.21
After-hype Price
25.71
Upside
YieldMax Bitcoin is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of YieldMax Bitcoin Option is based on 3 months time horizon.

YieldMax Bitcoin Etf Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as YieldMax Bitcoin is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading YieldMax Bitcoin backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with YieldMax Bitcoin, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.51 
2.50
  0.06 
 0.00  
10 Events / Month
3 Events / Month
In about 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
23.15
23.21
0.26 
2,273  
Notes

YieldMax Bitcoin Hype Timeline

YieldMax Bitcoin Option is at this time traded for 23.15. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.06, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. YieldMax is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 23.21 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price appreciation on the next news is projected to be 0.26%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.51%. The volatility of related hype on YieldMax Bitcoin is about 35714.29%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 23.15. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of YieldMax Bitcoin to cross-verify your projections.

YieldMax Bitcoin Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to YieldMax Bitcoin's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict YieldMax Bitcoin's future price movements. Getting to know how YieldMax Bitcoin's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how YieldMax Bitcoin may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
FIFGXFidelity Sai Inflationfocused 0.00 0 per month 1.12  0.07  1.69 (1.63) 6.34 
QQQINEOS Nasdaq 100 0.25 7 per month 0.00 (0.08) 1.20 (1.70) 4.27 
FASIXFidelity Asset Manager 0.00 0 per month 0.11 (0.18) 0.35 (0.35) 0.91 
BONDPIMCO Active Bond(0.02)9 per month 0.13 (0.29) 0.27 (0.29) 0.74 
FFVFXFidelity Freedom 2015 0.00 0 per month 0.21 (0.09) 0.50 (0.50) 1.24 
VCRBVanguard Core Bond 0.02 6 per month 0.13 (0.33) 0.28 (0.27) 0.79 
FDCAXFidelity Capital Appreciation 0.38 1 per month 0.80  0.11  1.17 (1.54) 7.71 
EQPGXFidelity Advisor Equity(0.03)1 per month 0.00 (0.10) 1.32 (2.12) 4.84 
JBNDJP Morgan Exchange Traded(0.02)8 per month 0.15 (0.27) 0.30 (0.37) 0.82 
JGLOJPMorgan Global Select(0.51)5 per month 0.70 (0.06) 0.80 (1.11) 3.39 

Other Forecasting Options for YieldMax Bitcoin

For every potential investor in YieldMax, whether a beginner or expert, YieldMax Bitcoin's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. YieldMax Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in YieldMax. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying YieldMax Bitcoin's price trends.

YieldMax Bitcoin Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with YieldMax Bitcoin etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of YieldMax Bitcoin could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing YieldMax Bitcoin by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

YieldMax Bitcoin Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how YieldMax Bitcoin etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading YieldMax Bitcoin shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying YieldMax Bitcoin etf market strength indicators, traders can identify YieldMax Bitcoin Option entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

YieldMax Bitcoin Risk Indicators

The analysis of YieldMax Bitcoin's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in YieldMax Bitcoin's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting yieldmax etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for YieldMax Bitcoin

The number of cover stories for YieldMax Bitcoin depends on current market conditions and YieldMax Bitcoin's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that YieldMax Bitcoin is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about YieldMax Bitcoin's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
When determining whether YieldMax Bitcoin Option is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if YieldMax Etf is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Yieldmax Bitcoin Option Etf. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Yieldmax Bitcoin Option Etf:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of YieldMax Bitcoin to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Stocks Directory module to find actively traded stocks across global markets.
YieldMax Bitcoin Option's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on YieldMax's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate YieldMax Bitcoin's intrinsic value - its true economic worth - which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. Since YieldMax Bitcoin's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between YieldMax Bitcoin's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if YieldMax Bitcoin is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, YieldMax Bitcoin's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.