Mingzhu Logistics Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

YGMZ Stock  USD 0  0.00  0.000002%   
Mingzhu Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
The value of relative strength index of Mingzhu Logistics' share price is below 30 at this time. This entails that the stock is becoming oversold or undervalued. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Mingzhu Logistics Holdings, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 29

 Sell Stretched

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Mingzhu Logistics' future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Mingzhu Logistics Holdings, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Mingzhu Logistics' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.52)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.40)
Using Mingzhu Logistics hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Mingzhu Logistics Holdings from the perspective of Mingzhu Logistics response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.

Mingzhu Relative Strength Index

The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Mingzhu Logistics Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 0.19 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.11 and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.79.

Mingzhu Logistics Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Mingzhu Logistics' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Mingzhu. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Mingzhu can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Mingzhu Logistics Holdings. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Mingzhu Logistics' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Mingzhu Logistics.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Mingzhu Logistics Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 0.19 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.11 and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.79.

Mingzhu Logistics after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 0.0036  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Mingzhu Logistics to cross-verify your projections.

Mingzhu Logistics Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Mingzhu price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Mingzhu using various technical indicators. When you analyze Mingzhu charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Mingzhu Logistics' financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2018-12-31
Previous Quarter
698.2 K
Current Value
M
Quarterly Volatility
2.1 M
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
A naive forecasting model for Mingzhu Logistics is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Mingzhu Logistics Holdings value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Mingzhu Logistics Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 27th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Mingzhu Logistics Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 0.19 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.11, mean absolute percentage error of 0.03, and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.79.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Mingzhu Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Mingzhu Logistics' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Mingzhu Logistics Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Mingzhu Logistics  Mingzhu Logistics Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

Mingzhu Logistics Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Mingzhu Logistics' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Mingzhu Logistics' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.000043 and 22.39, respectively. We have considered Mingzhu Logistics' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0
0.000043
Downside
0.19
Expected Value
22.39
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Mingzhu Logistics stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Mingzhu Logistics stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria114.6314
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.1114
MAPEMean absolute percentage error5.8777
SAESum of the absolute errors6.7925
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Mingzhu Logistics Holdings. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Mingzhu Logistics. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Mingzhu Logistics

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mingzhu Logistics. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.00022.38
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.00022.38
Details

Mingzhu Logistics After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Mingzhu Logistics at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Mingzhu Logistics or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Mingzhu Logistics, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Mingzhu Logistics Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Mingzhu Logistics' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Mingzhu Logistics' historical news coverage. Mingzhu Logistics' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 22.38, respectively. We have considered Mingzhu Logistics' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0
0
After-hype Price
22.38
Upside
Mingzhu Logistics is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Mingzhu Logistics is based on 3 months time horizon.

Mingzhu Logistics Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Mingzhu Logistics is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Mingzhu Logistics backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Mingzhu Logistics, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  5.05 
22.20
  0.02 
  1.43 
8 Events / Month
5 Events / Month
In about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0
0
16.29 
555,000  
Notes

Mingzhu Logistics Hype Timeline

Mingzhu Logistics is at this time traded for 0. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -1.43. Mingzhu is expected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 0.0036. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -16.29%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -5.05%. The volatility of related hype on Mingzhu Logistics is about 7816.9%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of -1.43. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 0.0. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. Mingzhu Logistics had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 1:16 split on the 12th of November 2025. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in about 8 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Mingzhu Logistics to cross-verify your projections.

Mingzhu Logistics Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Mingzhu Logistics' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Mingzhu Logistics' future price movements. Getting to know how Mingzhu Logistics' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Mingzhu Logistics may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
HXHXHaoxin Holdings Limited(0.03)4 per month 9.33  0.03  7.55 (17.65) 301.13 
MNTSMomentus(2.39)9 per month 0.00 (0.05) 17.86 (17.01) 70.67 
ETSElite Express Holding 0.03 3 per month 0.00 (0.11) 6.00 (6.06) 29.93 
EHGOEshallgo Class A 0.03 7 per month 0.00 (0.22) 8.70 (9.30) 28.72 
SOARVolato Group(0.11)14 per month 0.00 (0.28) 8.42 (14.97) 36.59 
JYDJayud Global Logistics(0.34)9 per month 0.00 (0.08) 9.60 (9.09) 28.60 
INLFINLIF LIMITED Ordinary 0.02 5 per month 0.00 (0.17) 6.67 (8.00) 21.10 
HYFMHydrofarm Holdings Group(0.01)9 per month 0.00 (0.08) 12.26 (9.50) 47.42 
SFHGSamfine Creation Holdings 0.07 6 per month 6.63  0.07  10.64 (13.79) 29.39 
AWXAvalon Holdings(0.11)11 per month 2.37 (0.01) 5.30 (4.89) 11.69 

Other Forecasting Options for Mingzhu Logistics

For every potential investor in Mingzhu, whether a beginner or expert, Mingzhu Logistics' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Mingzhu Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Mingzhu. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Mingzhu Logistics' price trends.

Mingzhu Logistics Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Mingzhu Logistics stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Mingzhu Logistics could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Mingzhu Logistics by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Mingzhu Logistics Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Mingzhu Logistics stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Mingzhu Logistics shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Mingzhu Logistics stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Mingzhu Logistics Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Mingzhu Logistics Risk Indicators

The analysis of Mingzhu Logistics' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Mingzhu Logistics' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting mingzhu stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Mingzhu Logistics

The number of cover stories for Mingzhu Logistics depends on current market conditions and Mingzhu Logistics' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Mingzhu Logistics is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Mingzhu Logistics' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Mingzhu Logistics Short Properties

Mingzhu Logistics' future price predictability will typically decrease when Mingzhu Logistics' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Mingzhu Logistics Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Mingzhu Logistics' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Mingzhu Logistics' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding5.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments698.2 K

Additional Tools for Mingzhu Stock Analysis

When running Mingzhu Logistics' price analysis, check to measure Mingzhu Logistics' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Mingzhu Logistics is operating at the current time. Most of Mingzhu Logistics' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Mingzhu Logistics' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Mingzhu Logistics' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Mingzhu Logistics to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.