Yunji Stock Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

YJ Stock  USD 1.70  0.06  3.66%   
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Yunji Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 1.76 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.11 and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.42. Yunji Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Yunji's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Yunji's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Yunji fundamentals over time.
  
The value of Inventory Turnover is estimated to pull down to 7.40. The value of Payables Turnover is estimated to pull down to 3.27. The value of Common Stock Shares Outstanding is expected to pull down to about 19 M. The value of Net Loss is expected to pull down to about (166.8 M).
A four-period moving average forecast model for Yunji Inc is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

Yunji 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 26th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Yunji Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 1.76 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.11, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.42.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Yunji Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Yunji's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Yunji Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest YunjiYunji Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Yunji Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Yunji's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Yunji's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.02 and 8.16, respectively. We have considered Yunji's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
1.70
1.76
Expected Value
8.16
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Yunji stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Yunji stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria106.9306
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0109
MADMean absolute deviation0.1126
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0577
SAESum of the absolute errors6.4175
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of Yunji. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for Yunji Inc and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for Yunji

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Yunji Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.091.718.12
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.102.088.49
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
3.093.393.77
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Yunji

For every potential investor in Yunji, whether a beginner or expert, Yunji's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Yunji Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Yunji. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Yunji's price trends.

Yunji Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Yunji stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Yunji could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Yunji by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Yunji Inc Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Yunji's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Yunji's current price.

Yunji Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Yunji stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Yunji shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Yunji stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Yunji Inc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Yunji Risk Indicators

The analysis of Yunji's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Yunji's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting yunji stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Yunji to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Headlines Timeline module to stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity.
Is Broadline Retail space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Yunji. If investors know Yunji will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Yunji listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(42.79)
Revenue Per Share
107.408
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.37)
Return On Assets
(0.04)
Return On Equity
(0.09)
The market value of Yunji Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Yunji that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Yunji's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Yunji's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Yunji's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Yunji's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Yunji's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Yunji is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Yunji's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.