Youlife Group Stock Forward View
| YOUL Stock | 1.11 0.15 11.90% |
Youlife Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Youlife Group's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Youlife Group's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Youlife Group fundamentals over time.
As of now the relative strength index (rsi) of Youlife Group's share price is below 20 . This entails that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.162 |
Using Youlife Group hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Youlife Group American from the perspective of Youlife Group response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Youlife Group American on the next trading day is expected to be 0.86 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.11 and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.52. Youlife Group after-hype prediction price | USD 1.18 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Youlife Group to cross-verify your projections. Youlife Group Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Youlife price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Youlife using various technical indicators. When you analyze Youlife charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Youlife Group Cash Forecast
To forecast cash or other financial indicators, analysts must employ diverse statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. This approach allows them to detect underlying patterns in the Youlife Group's financial statements, predicting their influence on future market prices.
Cash | First Reported 2010-12-31 | Previous Quarter 113.9 M | Current Value 165.3 M | Quarterly Volatility 71.5 M |
Youlife Group Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 6th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Youlife Group American on the next trading day is expected to be 0.86 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.11, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.52.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Youlife Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Youlife Group's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Youlife Group Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Youlife Group | Youlife Group Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Youlife Group Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Youlife Group's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Youlife Group's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 11.78, respectively. We have considered Youlife Group's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Youlife Group stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Youlife Group stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.2477 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1069 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0695 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 6.5199 |
Predictive Modules for Youlife Group
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Youlife Group American. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Youlife Group's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Youlife Group After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Youlife Group at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Youlife Group or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Youlife Group, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Youlife Group Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Youlife Group's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Youlife Group's historical news coverage. Youlife Group's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.06 and 12.10, respectively. We have considered Youlife Group's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Youlife Group is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Youlife Group American is based on 3 months time horizon.
Youlife Group Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Youlife Group is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Youlife Group backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Youlife Group, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.26 | 10.92 | 0.01 | 0.06 | 9 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
1.11 | 1.18 | 0.85 |
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Youlife Group Hype Timeline
Youlife Group American is at this time traded for 1.11. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.06. Youlife is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 1.18 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price upswing on the next news is projected to be 0.85%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.26%. The volatility of related hype on Youlife Group is about 4853.33%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.17. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Youlife Group to cross-verify your projections.Youlife Group Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Youlife Group's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Youlife Group's future price movements. Getting to know how Youlife Group's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Youlife Group may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| VSA | TCTM Kids IT | (0.25) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.28) | 18.06 | (23.98) | 95.75 | |
| SKIL | Skillsoft Corp | 0.97 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 13.00 | (11.15) | 39.40 | |
| ACU | Acme United | 0.18 | 9 per month | 1.27 | 0.09 | 3.97 | (2.42) | 9.49 | |
| LGCY | Legacy Education | (0.09) | 6 per month | 3.09 | 0.05 | 6.29 | (5.41) | 22.37 | |
| CHGG | Chegg Inc | (0.04) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 8.79 | (9.30) | 38.40 | |
| STG | Sunlands Technology Group | 0.02 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 6.03 | (7.69) | 34.54 | |
| ZVIA | Zevia Pbc | 0.02 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 3.89 | (7.96) | 25.76 | |
| AGCC | Agencia Comercial Spirits | 1.42 | 3 per month | 6.49 | 0.14 | 21.44 | (8.39) | 50.01 | |
| HFFG | Hf Foods Group | (0.03) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 4.65 | (5.33) | 16.37 | |
| SKIN | Beauty Health Co | 0.05 | 9 per month | 3.65 | 0.01 | 6.94 | (6.00) | 18.77 |
Other Forecasting Options for Youlife Group
For every potential investor in Youlife, whether a beginner or expert, Youlife Group's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Youlife Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Youlife. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Youlife Group's price trends.Youlife Group Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Youlife Group stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Youlife Group could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Youlife Group by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Youlife Group Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Youlife Group stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Youlife Group shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Youlife Group stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Youlife Group American entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 6257.56 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (1.50) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.88 | |||
| Day Median Price | 1.14 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 1.13 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.10) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.15) |
Youlife Group Risk Indicators
The analysis of Youlife Group's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Youlife Group's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting youlife stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 5.41 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 10.46 | |||
| Variance | 109.5 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Youlife Group
The number of cover stories for Youlife Group depends on current market conditions and Youlife Group's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Youlife Group is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Youlife Group's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Youlife Group Short Properties
Youlife Group's future price predictability will typically decrease when Youlife Group's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Youlife Group American often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Youlife Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Youlife Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 70 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 126.5 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Youlife Group to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Balance Of Power module to check stock momentum by analyzing Balance Of Power indicator and other technical ratios.
Is Education & Training Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Youlife Group. Anticipated expansion of Youlife directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Youlife Group assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Youlife Group American's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Youlife's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Youlife Group's intrinsic value - its true economic worth - which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Since Youlife Group's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Youlife Group's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Youlife Group is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Youlife Group's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.