Yu Group Stock Forward View - Double Exponential Smoothing
| YU Stock | 1,910 10.00 0.52% |
Yu Group Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Yu Group stock prices and determine the direction of Yu Group PLC's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Yu Group's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the relative strength index (rsi) of Yu Group's share price is below 20 . This entails that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.098 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.443 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.595 | Wall Street Target Price 2.3 K | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.091 |
Using Yu Group hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Yu Group PLC from the perspective of Yu Group response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Yu Group PLC on the next trading day is expected to be 1,923 with a mean absolute deviation of 18.50 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1,091. Yu Group after-hype prediction price | GBX 1920.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Yu Group |
Yu Group Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Yu Group price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Yu Group using various technical indicators. When you analyze Yu Group charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Yu Group Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 17th of February 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Yu Group PLC on the next trading day is expected to be 1,923 with a mean absolute deviation of 18.50, mean absolute percentage error of 623.87, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1,091.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Yu Group Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Yu Group's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Yu Group Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Yu Group | Yu Group Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Yu Group Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Yu Group's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Yu Group's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 1,922 and 1,925, respectively. We have considered Yu Group's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Yu Group stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Yu Group stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -4.3252 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 18.4975 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0114 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 1091.3544 |
Predictive Modules for Yu Group
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Yu Group PLC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Yu Group After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Yu Group at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Yu Group or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Yu Group, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Yu Group Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Yu Group's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Yu Group's historical news coverage. Yu Group's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 1,918 and 1,922, respectively. We have considered Yu Group's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Yu Group is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Yu Group PLC is based on 3 months time horizon.
Yu Group Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Yu Group is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Yu Group backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Yu Group, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.43 | 1.51 | 0.00 | 4.77 | 4 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 4 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
1,910 | 1,920 | 0.00 |
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Yu Group Hype Timeline
Yu Group PLC is at this time traded for 1,910on London Exchange of UK. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -4.77. Yu Group is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.43%. %. The volatility of related hype on Yu Group is about 13.6%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1,905. About 65.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders. The book value of Yu Group was at this time reported as 4.82. The company last dividend was issued on the 20th of November 2025. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 4 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Yu Group to cross-verify your projections.Yu Group Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Yu Group's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Yu Group's future price movements. Getting to know how Yu Group's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Yu Group may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| 0QKN | Chocoladefabriken Lindt Spruengli | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 1.87 | (1.39) | 3.77 | |
| 0QP1 | Chocoladefabriken Lindt Spruengli | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.82 | (0.03) | 1.45 | (1.68) | 3.60 | |
| RKW | Rockwood Realisation PLC | (8.45) | 2 per month | 0.85 | 0.03 | 2.03 | (1.37) | 4.96 | |
| 47IE | SU plc | (64.35) | 6 per month | 0.00 | 0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9,999 | |
| TYT | Toyota Motor Corp | 0.00 | 9 per month | 1.23 | 0.12 | 3.26 | (2.29) | 10.55 | |
| NBS | Nationwide Building Society | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.25) | 0.38 | 0.00 | 0.77 | |
| PEYS | Princess Private Equity | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 1.81 | (1.87) | 6.83 | |
| SLPE | SL Private Equity | (16.00) | 6 per month | 1.13 | 0 | 2.50 | (1.61) | 8.02 |
Other Forecasting Options for Yu Group
For every potential investor in Yu Group, whether a beginner or expert, Yu Group's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Yu Group Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Yu Group. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Yu Group's price trends.Yu Group Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Yu Group stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Yu Group could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Yu Group by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Yu Group Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Yu Group stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Yu Group shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Yu Group stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Yu Group PLC entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 3331.29 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.17) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 1930.0 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 1923.33 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 6.0E-4 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (25.00) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (10.00) |
Yu Group Risk Indicators
The analysis of Yu Group's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Yu Group's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting yu group stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.1 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.04 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.54 | |||
| Variance | 2.37 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.13 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.07 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.36) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Yu Group
The number of cover stories for Yu Group depends on current market conditions and Yu Group's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Yu Group is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Yu Group's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Yu Group Short Properties
Yu Group's future price predictability will typically decrease when Yu Group's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Yu Group PLC often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Yu Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Yu Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 17.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 85.2 M |
Other Information on Investing in Yu Group Stock
Yu Group financial ratios help investors to determine whether Yu Group Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Yu Group with respect to the benefits of owning Yu Group security.