Liquid Media Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Liquid Media Group on the next trading day is expected to be 0.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00000833 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.0005. Investors can use prediction functions to forecast Liquid Media's stock prices and determine the direction of Liquid Media Group's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. However, exclusively looking at the historical price movement is usually misleading. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Liquid Media's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Check out Your Current Watchlist to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
  
Liquid Media simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Liquid Media Group are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Liquid Media Group prices get older.

Liquid Media Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 28th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Liquid Media Group on the next trading day is expected to be 0.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00000833, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.0005.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Liquid Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Liquid Media's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Liquid Media Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Liquid Media Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Liquid Media's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Liquid Media's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.00 and 15.88, respectively. We have considered Liquid Media's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.00
0.00
Expected Value
15.88
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Liquid Media pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Liquid Media pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria96.5908
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error9.223372036854776E14
SAESum of the absolute errors5.0E-4
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Liquid Media Group forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Liquid Media observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Liquid Media

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Liquid Media Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Other Forecasting Options for Liquid Media

For every potential investor in Liquid, whether a beginner or expert, Liquid Media's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Liquid Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Liquid. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Liquid Media's price trends.

Liquid Media Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Liquid Media pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Liquid Media could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Liquid Media by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Liquid Media Group Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Liquid Media's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Liquid Media's current price.

Liquid Media Risk Indicators

The analysis of Liquid Media's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Liquid Media's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting liquid pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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