Yanzhou Coal OTC Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

YZCAY Stock  USD 11.53  0.07  0.60%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Yanzhou Coal Mining on the next trading day is expected to be 11.53 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.30 and the sum of the absolute errors of 17.99. Yanzhou OTC Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A two period moving average forecast for Yanzhou Coal is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Yanzhou Coal Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 2nd of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Yanzhou Coal Mining on the next trading day is expected to be 11.53 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.30, mean absolute percentage error of 0.18, and the sum of the absolute errors of 17.99.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Yanzhou OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Yanzhou Coal's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Yanzhou Coal OTC Stock Forecast Pattern

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Yanzhou Coal Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Yanzhou Coal's OTC Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Yanzhou Coal's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 8.56 and 14.50, respectively. We have considered Yanzhou Coal's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
11.53
11.53
Expected Value
14.50
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Yanzhou Coal otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Yanzhou Coal otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria112.7264
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -1.0E-4
MADMean absolute deviation0.3048
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0235
SAESum of the absolute errors17.985
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Yanzhou Coal Mining price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Yanzhou Coal. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Yanzhou Coal

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Yanzhou Coal Mining. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.5611.5314.50
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.3610.3313.30
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Yanzhou Coal. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Yanzhou Coal's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Yanzhou Coal's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Yanzhou Coal Mining.

Other Forecasting Options for Yanzhou Coal

For every potential investor in Yanzhou, whether a beginner or expert, Yanzhou Coal's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Yanzhou OTC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Yanzhou. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Yanzhou Coal's price trends.

Yanzhou Coal Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Yanzhou Coal otc stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Yanzhou Coal could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Yanzhou Coal by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Yanzhou Coal Mining Technical and Predictive Analytics

The otc stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Yanzhou Coal's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Yanzhou Coal's current price.

Yanzhou Coal Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Yanzhou Coal otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Yanzhou Coal shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Yanzhou Coal otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Yanzhou Coal Mining entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Yanzhou Coal Risk Indicators

The analysis of Yanzhou Coal's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Yanzhou Coal's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting yanzhou otc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Yanzhou OTC Stock Analysis

When running Yanzhou Coal's price analysis, check to measure Yanzhou Coal's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Yanzhou Coal is operating at the current time. Most of Yanzhou Coal's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Yanzhou Coal's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Yanzhou Coal's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Yanzhou Coal to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.