ZAMBEEF PRODUCTS Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

ZAMBEEF Stock   2.13  0.00  0.00%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of ZAMBEEF PRODUCTS PLC on the next trading day is expected to be 2.13 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.61. Investors can use prediction functions to forecast ZAMBEEF PRODUCTS's stock prices and determine the direction of ZAMBEEF PRODUCTS PLC's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. However, exclusively looking at the historical price movement is usually misleading. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of ZAMBEEF PRODUCTS's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Check out Your Current Watchlist to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in income.
  
Triple exponential smoothing for ZAMBEEF PRODUCTS - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When ZAMBEEF PRODUCTS prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in ZAMBEEF PRODUCTS price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of ZAMBEEF PRODUCTS PLC.

ZAMBEEF PRODUCTS Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 26th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of ZAMBEEF PRODUCTS PLC on the next trading day is expected to be 2.13 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0005, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.61.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict ZAMBEEF Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that ZAMBEEF PRODUCTS's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

ZAMBEEF PRODUCTS Stock Forecast Pattern

ZAMBEEF PRODUCTS Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting ZAMBEEF PRODUCTS's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. ZAMBEEF PRODUCTS's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.88 and 3.38, respectively. We have considered ZAMBEEF PRODUCTS's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
2.13
2.13
Expected Value
3.38
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of ZAMBEEF PRODUCTS stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent ZAMBEEF PRODUCTS stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0021
MADMean absolute deviation0.0103
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0049
SAESum of the absolute errors0.6104
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past ZAMBEEF PRODUCTS observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older ZAMBEEF PRODUCTS PLC observations.

Predictive Modules for ZAMBEEF PRODUCTS

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ZAMBEEF PRODUCTS PLC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of ZAMBEEF PRODUCTS's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.

Other Forecasting Options for ZAMBEEF PRODUCTS

For every potential investor in ZAMBEEF, whether a beginner or expert, ZAMBEEF PRODUCTS's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. ZAMBEEF Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in ZAMBEEF. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying ZAMBEEF PRODUCTS's price trends.

ZAMBEEF PRODUCTS Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with ZAMBEEF PRODUCTS stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of ZAMBEEF PRODUCTS could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing ZAMBEEF PRODUCTS by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

ZAMBEEF PRODUCTS PLC Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of ZAMBEEF PRODUCTS's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of ZAMBEEF PRODUCTS's current price.

ZAMBEEF PRODUCTS Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how ZAMBEEF PRODUCTS stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading ZAMBEEF PRODUCTS shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying ZAMBEEF PRODUCTS stock market strength indicators, traders can identify ZAMBEEF PRODUCTS PLC entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

ZAMBEEF PRODUCTS Risk Indicators

The analysis of ZAMBEEF PRODUCTS's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in ZAMBEEF PRODUCTS's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting zambeef stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.