Zehnder Stock Forward View - Simple Regression

ZEHN Stock  CHF 88.70  0.70  0.80%   
Zehnder Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, The relative strength index (RSI) of Zehnder's share price is at 56. This usually means that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Zehnder, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 56

 Buy Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Zehnder's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Zehnder and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Zehnder's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Zehnder, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Zehnder's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
2.416
EPS Estimate Current Year
4.56
EPS Estimate Next Year
5.1267
Wall Street Target Price
90.9093
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.11
Using Zehnder hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Zehnder from the perspective of Zehnder response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Zehnder on the next trading day is expected to be 91.31 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.28 and the sum of the absolute errors of 141.64.

Zehnder after-hype prediction price

    
  CHF 88.79  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Zehnder to cross-verify your projections.

Zehnder Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Zehnder price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Zehnder using various technical indicators. When you analyze Zehnder charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Zehnder price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Zehnder Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 22nd of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Zehnder on the next trading day is expected to be 91.31 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.28, mean absolute percentage error of 6.66, and the sum of the absolute errors of 141.64.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Zehnder Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Zehnder's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Zehnder Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Zehnder  Zehnder Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Zehnder Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Zehnder's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Zehnder's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 89.44 and 93.18, respectively. We have considered Zehnder's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
88.70
91.31
Expected Value
93.18
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Zehnder stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Zehnder stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria121.8451
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation2.2844
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0288
SAESum of the absolute errors141.635
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Zehnder historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Zehnder

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Zehnder. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
86.9288.7990.66
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
79.8399.06100.93
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
76.1689.16102.16
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.910.961.01
Details

Zehnder After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Zehnder at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Zehnder or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Zehnder, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Zehnder Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Zehnder's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Zehnder's historical news coverage. Zehnder's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 86.92 and 90.66, respectively. We have considered Zehnder's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
88.70
88.79
After-hype Price
90.66
Upside
Zehnder is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Zehnder is based on 3 months time horizon.

Zehnder Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Zehnder is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Zehnder backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Zehnder, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.45 
1.87
  0.09 
  0.66 
5 Events / Month
2 Events / Month
In about 5 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
88.70
88.79
0.10 
935.00  
Notes

Zehnder Hype Timeline

Zehnder is at this time traded for 88.70on SIX Swiss Exchange of Switzerland. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.09, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.66. Zehnder is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 88.79 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price increase on the next news is anticipated to be 0.1%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.45%. The volatility of related hype on Zehnder is about 126.61%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 89.36. The company reported the revenue of 705.8 M. Net Loss for the year was (2.4 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 483.7 M. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 5 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Zehnder to cross-verify your projections.

Zehnder Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Zehnder's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Zehnder's future price movements. Getting to know how Zehnder's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Zehnder may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
SWTQSchweiter Technologies AG 6.00 2 per month 2.96 (0.01) 4.55 (4.30) 16.81 
METNMetall Zug AG(32.00)1 per month 1.04  0.05  2.87 (1.95) 9.34 
MIKNMikron Holding AG 0.1 4 per month 0.00 (0.07) 3.80 (3.86) 19.62 
MEDXmedmix AG 0.12 2 per month 0.96  0.19  2.93 (2.04) 13.55 
KOMNKomax Holding AG(2.80)5 per month 2.29  0.03  4.62 (3.62) 10.87 
MTGMeier Tobler Group 0.35 2 per month 1.66 (0.02) 3.41 (2.20) 9.93 
PMNPHOENIX N AG 3.00 6 per month 0.00 (0.05) 2.62 (3.89) 7.50 
LECNLeclanche SA 0.00 6 per month 0.00 (0.06) 10.00 (9.09) 35.71 
OFNOrell Fuessli Holding 0.00 0 per month 0.46  0.12  2.33 (1.25) 5.57 
BVZNBVZ Holding AG 40.00 3 per month 1.67  0.11  4.67 (2.90) 14.90 

Other Forecasting Options for Zehnder

For every potential investor in Zehnder, whether a beginner or expert, Zehnder's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Zehnder Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Zehnder. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Zehnder's price trends.

Zehnder Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Zehnder stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Zehnder could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Zehnder by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Zehnder Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Zehnder stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Zehnder shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Zehnder stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Zehnder entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Zehnder Risk Indicators

The analysis of Zehnder's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Zehnder's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting zehnder stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Zehnder

The number of cover stories for Zehnder depends on current market conditions and Zehnder's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Zehnder is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Zehnder's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Zehnder Short Properties

Zehnder's future price predictability will typically decrease when Zehnder's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Zehnder often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Zehnder's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Zehnder's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding10.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments56.7 M

Additional Tools for Zehnder Stock Analysis

When running Zehnder's price analysis, check to measure Zehnder's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Zehnder is operating at the current time. Most of Zehnder's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Zehnder's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Zehnder's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Zehnder to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.