Zillow Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| ZG Stock | USD 45.42 0.12 0.26% |
Zillow Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Zillow's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 21st of February 2026, the relative strength index (RSI) of Zillow's share price is approaching 32. This usually means that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Zillow, making its price go up or down. Momentum 32
Sell Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.25) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.5206 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.216 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.8893 | Wall Street Target Price 74.7826 |
Using Zillow hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Zillow Group from the perspective of Zillow response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Zillow using Zillow's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Zillow using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Zillow's stock price.
Zillow Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Zillow's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Zillow. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Zillow stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 71.1397 | Short Percent 0.0635 | Short Ratio 2.26 | Shares Short Prior Month 1.6 M | 50 Day MA 65.1002 |
Zillow Relative Strength Index
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Zillow Group on the next trading day is expected to be 45.42 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.30 and the sum of the absolute errors of 79.28.Zillow Group Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Zillow's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Zillow. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Zillow can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Zillow Group. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Zillow's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Zillow.
Zillow Implied Volatility | 0.76 |
Zillow's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Zillow Group stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Zillow's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Zillow stock will not fluctuate a lot when Zillow's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Zillow Group on the next trading day is expected to be 45.42 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.30 and the sum of the absolute errors of 79.28. Zillow after-hype prediction price | USD 45.42 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Zillow to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Zillow contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Zillow Group will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0475% per day over the life of the 2026-05-15 option contract. With Zillow trading at USD 45.42, that is roughly USD 0.0216 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Zillow's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Zillow Group options at the current volatility level of 0.76%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-05-15 Zillow Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Zillow's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Zillow's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Zillow stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Zillow's open interest, investors have to compare it to Zillow's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Zillow is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Zillow. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Zillow Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Zillow price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Zillow using various technical indicators. When you analyze Zillow charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Zillow Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 22nd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Zillow Group on the next trading day is expected to be 45.42 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.30, mean absolute percentage error of 3.92, and the sum of the absolute errors of 79.28.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Zillow Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Zillow's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Zillow Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Zillow | Zillow Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Zillow Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Zillow's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Zillow's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 42.19 and 48.65, respectively. We have considered Zillow's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Zillow stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Zillow stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 119.4772 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.4026 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.2997 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0213 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 79.28 |
Predictive Modules for Zillow
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Zillow Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Zillow After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Zillow at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Zillow or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Zillow, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Zillow Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Zillow's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Zillow's historical news coverage. Zillow's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 42.19 and 48.65, respectively. We have considered Zillow's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Zillow is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Zillow Group is based on 3 months time horizon.
Zillow Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Zillow is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Zillow backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Zillow, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.68 | 3.23 | 1.40 | 0.24 | 8 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
45.42 | 45.42 | 0.00 |
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Zillow Hype Timeline
As of February 21, 2026 Zillow Group is listed for 45.42. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -1.4, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.24. Zillow is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 156.8%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.68%. %. The volatility of related hype on Zillow is about 897.22%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 45.18. About 95.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Zillow was at this time reported as 20.31. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.92. Zillow Group had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 3207:1000 split on the 17th of August 2015. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Zillow to cross-verify your projections.Zillow Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Zillow's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Zillow's future price movements. Getting to know how Zillow's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Zillow may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TWLO | Twilio Inc | (0.60) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 4.10 | (5.24) | 14.05 | |
| SNAP | Snap Inc | (0.19) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.28) | 3.17 | (4.59) | 19.91 | |
| WMG | Warner Music Group | 1.08 | 10 per month | 2.07 | (0.03) | 3.14 | (3.30) | 10.13 | |
| ROKU | Roku Inc | (6.49) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 3.80 | (5.24) | 12.47 | |
| NWSA | News Corp A | (0.56) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 2.07 | (2.56) | 10.65 | |
| TKO | TKO Group Holdings | 2.38 | 10 per month | 1.90 | 0.08 | 3.19 | (2.69) | 9.86 | |
| OMC | Omnicom Group | 1.56 | 10 per month | 2.58 | 0.06 | 4.66 | (2.96) | 16.86 | |
| TLK | Telkom Indonesia Tbk | 0.12 | 5 per month | 2.68 | (0.02) | 2.94 | (2.90) | 17.24 | |
| PINS | (0.54) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 2.80 | (5.59) | 19.73 |
Other Forecasting Options for Zillow
For every potential investor in Zillow, whether a beginner or expert, Zillow's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Zillow Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Zillow. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Zillow's price trends.Zillow Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Zillow stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Zillow could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Zillow by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Zillow Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Zillow stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Zillow shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Zillow stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Zillow Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 58440.23 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.05) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 46.11 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 45.88 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.75) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.12) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 32.51 |
Zillow Risk Indicators
The analysis of Zillow's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Zillow's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting zillow stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.09 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.22 | |||
| Variance | 10.36 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Zillow
The number of cover stories for Zillow depends on current market conditions and Zillow's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Zillow is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Zillow's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Zillow Short Properties
Zillow's future price predictability will typically decrease when Zillow's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Zillow Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Zillow's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Zillow's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 254.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.3 B |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Zillow to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Piotroski F Score module to get Piotroski F Score based on the binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals.
Can Real Estate Management & Development industry sustain growth momentum? Does Zillow have expansion opportunities? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Zillow. Anticipated expansion of Zillow directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Determining accurate worth demands scrutiny of both present operating results and projected expansion capacity. Evaluating Zillow demands reviewing these metrics collectively while recognizing certain factors exert disproportionate influence.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.25) | Earnings Share 0.09 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.181 | Return On Assets |
Investors evaluate Zillow Group using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Zillow's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Zillow's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Zillow's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Zillow is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Conversely, Zillow's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.