ZKB Gold Etf Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

ZGLDHE Etf  EUR 1,354  5.80  0.43%   
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of ZKB Gold ETF on the next trading day is expected to be 1,355 with a mean absolute deviation of 14.48 and the sum of the absolute errors of 825.60. ZKB Etf Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast ZKB Gold stock prices and determine the direction of ZKB Gold ETF's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of ZKB Gold's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A four-period moving average forecast model for ZKB Gold ETF is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

ZKB Gold 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 5th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of ZKB Gold ETF on the next trading day is expected to be 1,355 with a mean absolute deviation of 14.48, mean absolute percentage error of 313.23, and the sum of the absolute errors of 825.60.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict ZKB Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that ZKB Gold's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

ZKB Gold Etf Forecast Pattern

ZKB Gold Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting ZKB Gold's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. ZKB Gold's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 1,354 and 1,356, respectively. We have considered ZKB Gold's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
1,354
1,355
Expected Value
1,356
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of ZKB Gold etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent ZKB Gold etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.5059
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -1.7316
MADMean absolute deviation14.4842
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0106
SAESum of the absolute errors825.6
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of ZKB Gold. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for ZKB Gold ETF and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for ZKB Gold

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ZKB Gold ETF. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1,3531,3541,355
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1,2471,2481,489
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
1,3401,3571,374
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as ZKB Gold. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against ZKB Gold's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, ZKB Gold's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in ZKB Gold ETF.

Other Forecasting Options for ZKB Gold

For every potential investor in ZKB, whether a beginner or expert, ZKB Gold's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. ZKB Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in ZKB. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying ZKB Gold's price trends.

ZKB Gold Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with ZKB Gold etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of ZKB Gold could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing ZKB Gold by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

ZKB Gold ETF Technical and Predictive Analytics

The etf market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of ZKB Gold's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of ZKB Gold's current price.

ZKB Gold Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how ZKB Gold etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading ZKB Gold shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying ZKB Gold etf market strength indicators, traders can identify ZKB Gold ETF entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

ZKB Gold Risk Indicators

The analysis of ZKB Gold's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in ZKB Gold's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting zkb etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in ZKB Etf

ZKB Gold financial ratios help investors to determine whether ZKB Etf is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in ZKB with respect to the benefits of owning ZKB Gold security.