ZK International Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| ZKIN Stock | USD 1.66 0.01 0.60% |
ZKIN Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although ZK International's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of ZK International's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of ZK International fundamentals over time.
As of today, the relative strength momentum indicator of ZK International's share price is approaching 44. This usually means that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling ZK International, making its price go up or down. Momentum 44
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.98) | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.24) |
Using ZK International hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of ZK International Group from the perspective of ZK International response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of ZK International Group on the next trading day is expected to be 1.66 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.10 and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.00. ZK International after-hype prediction price | USD 1.66 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of ZK International to cross-verify your projections. ZK International Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine ZKIN price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for ZKIN using various technical indicators. When you analyze ZKIN charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
ZK International Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 3rd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of ZK International Group on the next trading day is expected to be 1.66 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.10, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.00.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict ZKIN Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that ZK International's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
ZK International Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest ZK International | ZK International Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
ZK International Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting ZK International's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. ZK International's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.02 and 8.93, respectively. We have considered ZK International's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of ZK International stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent ZK International stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 112.2278 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0315 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1001 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0507 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 6.0047 |
Predictive Modules for ZK International
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ZK International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.ZK International After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of ZK International at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in ZK International or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of ZK International, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
ZK International Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting ZK International's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on ZK International's historical news coverage. ZK International's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.08 and 9.11, respectively. We have considered ZK International's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
ZK International is extremely dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of ZK International is based on 3 months time horizon.
ZK International Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as ZK International is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading ZK International backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with ZK International, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.65 | 7.27 | 0.07 | 0.06 | 7 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
1.66 | 1.66 | 0.00 |
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ZK International Hype Timeline
ZK International is at this time traded for 1.66. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.07, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.06. ZKIN is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.65%. %. The volatility of related hype on ZK International is about 8261.36%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.72. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 1.0. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. ZK International recorded a loss per share of 0.6. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 1:7 split on the 31st of January 2025. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of ZK International to cross-verify your projections.ZK International Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to ZK International's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict ZK International's future price movements. Getting to know how ZK International's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how ZK International may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| INHD | Inno Holdings Common | 1.54 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.37) | 10.50 | (21.87) | 50.62 | |
| JCTC | Jewett Cameron Trading | 0.04 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 7.80 | (7.66) | 23.52 | |
| GURE | Gulf Resources Common | (0.78) | 10 per month | 9.11 | 0.05 | 20.00 | (17.24) | 105.51 | |
| SEED | Origin Agritech | (0.02) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 8.97 | (7.41) | 21.85 | |
| FMSTW | Foremost Lithium Resource | (0.05) | 5 per month | 7.87 | 0.06 | 18.75 | (13.54) | 41.70 | |
| HUDI | Huadi International Group | 0.09 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 6.72 | (7.09) | 15.13 | |
| RKDA | Arcadia Biosciences | 0.03 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 8.59 | (11.64) | 25.74 | |
| ASTL | Algoma Steel Group | 0.03 | 10 per month | 3.71 | (0) | 7.14 | (6.12) | 18.39 | |
| CNEY | CN Energy Group | (0.01) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 10.00 | (10.27) | 66.79 | |
| CAPS | Capstone Holding Corp | 0.01 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 9.86 | (8.05) | 29.43 |
Other Forecasting Options for ZK International
For every potential investor in ZKIN, whether a beginner or expert, ZK International's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. ZKIN Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in ZKIN. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying ZK International's price trends.ZK International Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with ZK International stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of ZK International could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing ZK International by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
ZK International Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how ZK International stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading ZK International shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying ZK International stock market strength indicators, traders can identify ZK International Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
ZK International Risk Indicators
The analysis of ZK International's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in ZK International's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting zkin stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 5.39 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 7.45 | |||
| Variance | 55.55 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for ZK International
The number of cover stories for ZK International depends on current market conditions and ZK International's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that ZK International is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about ZK International's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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ZK International Short Properties
ZK International's future price predictability will typically decrease when ZK International's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of ZK International Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential ZK International's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ZK International's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 4.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 4.1 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of ZK International to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Economic Indicators module to top statistical indicators that provide insights into how an economy is performing.
Will Metals & Mining sector continue expanding? Could ZKIN diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of ZK International. Anticipated expansion of ZKIN directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every ZK International data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.98) | Earnings Share (0.60) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.24) | Return On Assets |
ZK International's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on ZKIN's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate ZK International's intrinsic value—its true economic worth—which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Since ZK International's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between ZK International's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if ZK International is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, ZK International's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.