Zealand Pharma Pink Sheet Forecast - Polynomial Regression

ZLDPF Stock  USD 104.20  1.45  1.41%   
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Zealand Pharma AS on the next trading day is expected to be 99.92 with a mean absolute deviation of 5.38 and the sum of the absolute errors of 333.38. Zealand Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Zealand Pharma's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Zealand Pharma polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Zealand Pharma AS as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

Zealand Pharma Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 27th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Zealand Pharma AS on the next trading day is expected to be 99.92 with a mean absolute deviation of 5.38, mean absolute percentage error of 39.84, and the sum of the absolute errors of 333.38.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Zealand Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Zealand Pharma's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Zealand Pharma Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Zealand Pharma Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Zealand Pharma's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Zealand Pharma's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 96.83 and 103.00, respectively. We have considered Zealand Pharma's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
104.20
99.92
Expected Value
103.00
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Zealand Pharma pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Zealand Pharma pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria123.6334
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation5.3771
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0455
SAESum of the absolute errors333.3809
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Zealand Pharma historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for Zealand Pharma

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Zealand Pharma AS. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
101.12104.20107.28
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
89.1992.27114.62
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
87.14108.16129.18
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Zealand Pharma

For every potential investor in Zealand, whether a beginner or expert, Zealand Pharma's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Zealand Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Zealand. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Zealand Pharma's price trends.

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 Risk & Return  Correlation

Zealand Pharma AS Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Zealand Pharma's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Zealand Pharma's current price.

Zealand Pharma Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Zealand Pharma pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Zealand Pharma shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Zealand Pharma pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Zealand Pharma AS entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Zealand Pharma Risk Indicators

The analysis of Zealand Pharma's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Zealand Pharma's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting zealand pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Zealand Pink Sheet

Zealand Pharma financial ratios help investors to determine whether Zealand Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Zealand with respect to the benefits of owning Zealand Pharma security.