SLR Investment Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

ZSL Stock  EUR 15.48  0.03  0.19%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of SLR Investment Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 15.89 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.14 and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.79. SLR Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of SLR Investment's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A naive forecasting model for SLR Investment is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of SLR Investment Corp value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

SLR Investment Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 27th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of SLR Investment Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 15.89 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.14, mean absolute percentage error of 0.05, and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.79.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict SLR Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that SLR Investment's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

SLR Investment Stock Forecast Pattern

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SLR Investment Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting SLR Investment's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. SLR Investment's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 14.60 and 17.18, respectively. We have considered SLR Investment's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
15.48
15.89
Expected Value
17.18
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of SLR Investment stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent SLR Investment stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria115.0109
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.144
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0102
SAESum of the absolute errors8.7867
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of SLR Investment Corp. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict SLR Investment. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for SLR Investment

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SLR Investment Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
14.1915.4816.77
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
14.8516.1417.43
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
14.6315.2115.80
Details

Other Forecasting Options for SLR Investment

For every potential investor in SLR, whether a beginner or expert, SLR Investment's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. SLR Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in SLR. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying SLR Investment's price trends.

SLR Investment Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with SLR Investment stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of SLR Investment could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing SLR Investment by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

SLR Investment Corp Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of SLR Investment's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of SLR Investment's current price.

SLR Investment Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how SLR Investment stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading SLR Investment shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying SLR Investment stock market strength indicators, traders can identify SLR Investment Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

SLR Investment Risk Indicators

The analysis of SLR Investment's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in SLR Investment's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting slr stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Additional Information and Resources on Investing in SLR Stock

When determining whether SLR Investment Corp offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of SLR Investment's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Slr Investment Corp Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Slr Investment Corp Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of SLR Investment to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Correlation Analysis module to reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated.
Please note, there is a significant difference between SLR Investment's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if SLR Investment is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, SLR Investment's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.