Zoetis Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

ZTS Stock  USD 125.24  1.32  1.07%   
Zoetis Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, the relative strength index (RSI) of Zoetis' share price is approaching 45. This usually means that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Zoetis, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 45

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Zoetis' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Zoetis and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Zoetis' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Zoetis Inc, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Zoetis' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.085
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
1.4842
EPS Estimate Current Year
6.3394
EPS Estimate Next Year
6.7872
Wall Street Target Price
154.7775
Using Zoetis hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Zoetis Inc from the perspective of Zoetis response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Zoetis using Zoetis' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Zoetis using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Zoetis' stock price.

Zoetis Short Interest

An investor who is long Zoetis may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Zoetis and may potentially protect profits, hedge Zoetis with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
144.769
Short Percent
0.0312
Short Ratio
2.29
Shares Short Prior Month
9.2 M
50 Day MA
123.1818

Zoetis Relative Strength Index

The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Zoetis Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 119.16 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.79 and the sum of the absolute errors of 170.33.

Zoetis Inc Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Zoetis' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Zoetis. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Zoetis can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Zoetis Inc. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Zoetis' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Zoetis.

Zoetis Implied Volatility

    
  0.5  
Zoetis' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Zoetis Inc stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Zoetis' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Zoetis stock will not fluctuate a lot when Zoetis' options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Zoetis Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 119.16 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.79 and the sum of the absolute errors of 170.33.

Zoetis after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 124.96  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Zoetis to cross-verify your projections.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Zoetis contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Zoetis Inc will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0313% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Zoetis trading at USD 125.24, that is roughly USD 0.0391 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Zoetis' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Zoetis Inc options at the current volatility level of 0.5%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.

Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Zoetis Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Zoetis' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Zoetis' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Zoetis stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Zoetis' open interest, investors have to compare it to Zoetis' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Zoetis is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Zoetis. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Zoetis Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Zoetis price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Zoetis using various technical indicators. When you analyze Zoetis charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Zoetis' financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2010-12-31
Previous Quarter
1.4 B
Current Value
2.1 B
Quarterly Volatility
1.1 B
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
A naive forecasting model for Zoetis is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Zoetis Inc value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Zoetis Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 28th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Zoetis Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 119.16 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.79, mean absolute percentage error of 12.99, and the sum of the absolute errors of 170.33.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Zoetis Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Zoetis' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Zoetis Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Zoetis  Zoetis Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

Zoetis Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Zoetis' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Zoetis' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 116.87 and 121.45, respectively. We have considered Zoetis' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
125.24
116.87
Downside
119.16
Expected Value
121.45
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Zoetis stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Zoetis stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria120.675
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation2.7922
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0224
SAESum of the absolute errors170.3251
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Zoetis Inc. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Zoetis. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Zoetis

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Zoetis Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Zoetis' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
122.67124.96127.25
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
112.72141.04143.33
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
122.29125.15128.01
Details
19 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
140.85154.78171.80
Details

Zoetis After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Zoetis at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Zoetis or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Zoetis, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Zoetis Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Zoetis' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Zoetis' historical news coverage. Zoetis' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 122.67 and 127.25, respectively. We have considered Zoetis' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
125.24
122.67
Downside
124.96
After-hype Price
127.25
Upside
Zoetis is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Zoetis Inc is based on 3 months time horizon.

Zoetis Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Zoetis is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Zoetis backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Zoetis, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.21 
2.29
  0.28 
  0.15 
8 Events / Month
7 Events / Month
In about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
125.24
124.96
0.22 
172.18  
Notes

Zoetis Hype Timeline

On the 27th of January Zoetis Inc is traded for 125.24. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.28, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.15. Zoetis is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 124.96. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 172.18%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.22%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.21%. The volatility of related hype on Zoetis is about 329.02%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 125.09. About 99.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.33. Zoetis Inc recorded earning per share (EPS) of 5.94. The entity last dividend was issued on the 20th of January 2026. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 8 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Zoetis to cross-verify your projections.

Zoetis Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Zoetis' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Zoetis' future price movements. Getting to know how Zoetis' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Zoetis may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
CORCencora(5.23)11 per month 1.26  0.04  1.79 (2.39) 7.13 
REGNRegeneron Pharmaceuticals(14.58)8 per month 1.24  0.16  4.60 (2.47) 15.67 
IDXXIDEXX Laboratories 8.47 8 per month 1.31  0.03  3.61 (2.82) 18.94 
HLNHaleon plc(0.01)6 per month 1.11  0.07  2.81 (1.81) 6.06 
CICigna Corp 6.40 9 per month 0.00 (0.06) 3.20 (2.38) 19.84 
ELVElevance Health 0.84 9 per month 1.53  0.03  3.40 (2.51) 8.06 
BDXBecton Dickinson and 3.89 10 per month 0.89  0.03  2.93 (1.77) 7.14 
ELANElanco Animal Health 0.72 12 per month 1.81  0.07  3.64 (4.00) 10.56 
ARGXargenx NV ADR(7.51)8 per month 0.00 (0.09) 2.28 (2.47) 7.04 
TAKTakeda Pharmaceutical Co 0.05 9 per month 0.82  0.14  2.38 (1.18) 5.06 

Other Forecasting Options for Zoetis

For every potential investor in Zoetis, whether a beginner or expert, Zoetis' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Zoetis Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Zoetis. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Zoetis' price trends.

Zoetis Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Zoetis stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Zoetis could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Zoetis by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Zoetis Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Zoetis stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Zoetis shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Zoetis stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Zoetis Inc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Zoetis Risk Indicators

The analysis of Zoetis' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Zoetis' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting zoetis stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Zoetis

The number of cover stories for Zoetis depends on current market conditions and Zoetis' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Zoetis is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Zoetis' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Zoetis Short Properties

Zoetis' future price predictability will typically decrease when Zoetis' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Zoetis Inc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Zoetis' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Zoetis' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding454.8 M
Cash And Short Term InvestmentsB

Additional Tools for Zoetis Stock Analysis

When running Zoetis' price analysis, check to measure Zoetis' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Zoetis is operating at the current time. Most of Zoetis' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Zoetis' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Zoetis' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Zoetis to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.