Solar AS Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing
| ZVR Stock | EUR 27.40 1.15 4.38% |
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Solar AS on the next trading day is expected to be 27.40 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.35 and the sum of the absolute errors of 20.72. Solar Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Solar AS's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 22nd of January 2026, The value of RSI of Solar AS's share price is at 56. This usually means that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Solar AS, making its price go up or down. Momentum 56
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Solar AS hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Solar AS from the perspective of Solar AS response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Solar AS on the next trading day is expected to be 27.40 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.35 and the sum of the absolute errors of 20.72. Solar AS after-hype prediction price | EUR 27.4 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Solar |
Solar AS Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Solar price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Solar using various technical indicators. When you analyze Solar charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Solar AS Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 23rd of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Solar AS on the next trading day is expected to be 27.40 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.35, mean absolute percentage error of 0.22, and the sum of the absolute errors of 20.72.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Solar Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Solar AS's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Solar AS Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Solar AS | Solar AS Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Solar AS Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Solar AS's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Solar AS's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 25.75 and 29.04, respectively. We have considered Solar AS's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Solar AS stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Solar AS stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0246 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.3513 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0137 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 20.7242 |
Predictive Modules for Solar AS
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Solar AS. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Solar AS After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Solar AS at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Solar AS or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Solar AS, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Solar AS Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Solar AS's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Solar AS's historical news coverage. Solar AS's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 25.75 and 29.05, respectively. We have considered Solar AS's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Solar AS is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Solar AS is based on 3 months time horizon.
Solar AS Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Solar AS is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Solar AS backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Solar AS, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.07 | 1.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Any time |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
27.40 | 27.40 | 0.00 |
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Solar AS Hype Timeline
Solar AS is at this time traded for 27.40on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Solar is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.07%. %. The volatility of related hype on Solar AS is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 27.40. About 20.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders. The book value of Solar AS was at this time reported as 264.4. The company has Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of 125.64. Solar AS recorded earning per share (EPS) of 12.42. The entity last dividend was issued on the 20th of March 2023. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be any time. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Solar AS to cross-verify your projections.Solar AS Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Solar AS's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Solar AS's future price movements. Getting to know how Solar AS's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Solar AS may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| 0M7 | COFCO Joycome Foods | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 5.56 | (5.26) | 11.81 | |
| MWJ | NAKED WINES PLC | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.99 | (0.02) | 4.17 | (5.26) | 21.39 | |
| XSFA | SENECA FOODS A | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 3.03 | (5.88) | 13.36 | |
| NF2 | NISSIN FOODS HLDGS | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.08 | (0.02) | 1.96 | (1.89) | 7.74 | |
| ZVF | INDOFOOD AGRI RES | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.88 | (0.03) | 4.35 | (4.17) | 8.71 | |
| AZU | Ebro Foods SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.67 | (0.09) | 1.56 | (1.22) | 3.15 | |
| TF7A | TYSON FOODS A | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.95 | 0.03 | 2.05 | (2.16) | 8.32 |
Other Forecasting Options for Solar AS
For every potential investor in Solar, whether a beginner or expert, Solar AS's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Solar Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Solar. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Solar AS's price trends.Solar AS Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Solar AS stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Solar AS could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Solar AS by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Solar AS Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Solar AS stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Solar AS shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Solar AS stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Solar AS entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Solar AS Risk Indicators
The analysis of Solar AS's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Solar AS's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting solar stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.26 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.65 | |||
| Variance | 2.72 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Solar AS
The number of cover stories for Solar AS depends on current market conditions and Solar AS's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Solar AS is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Solar AS's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Solar AS Short Properties
Solar AS's future price predictability will typically decrease when Solar AS's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Solar AS often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Solar AS's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Solar AS's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 7.3 M | |
| Dividends Paid | 658 M | |
| Short Long Term Debt | 556 M | |
| Forward Annual Dividend Rate | 6.05 |
Other Information on Investing in Solar Stock
Solar AS financial ratios help investors to determine whether Solar Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Solar with respect to the benefits of owning Solar AS security.