North Copper (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 9.88

000737 Stock   9.74  0.25  2.63%   
North Copper's future price is the expected price of North Copper instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of North Copper Shanxi performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out North Copper Backtesting, North Copper Valuation, North Copper Correlation, North Copper Hype Analysis, North Copper Volatility, North Copper History as well as North Copper Performance.
  
Please specify North Copper's target price for which you would like North Copper odds to be computed.

North Copper Target Price Odds to finish below 9.88

The tendency of North Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under  9.88  after 90 days
 9.74 90 days 9.88 
about 86.84
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of North Copper to stay under  9.88  after 90 days from now is about 86.84 (This North Copper Shanxi probability density function shows the probability of North Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of North Copper Shanxi price to stay between its current price of  9.74  and  9.88  at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.51 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon North Copper has a beta of 0.36. This suggests as returns on the market go up, North Copper average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding North Copper Shanxi will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally North Copper Shanxi has an alpha of 0.0968, implying that it can generate a 0.0968 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   North Copper Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for North Copper

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as North Copper Shanxi. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
6.369.4912.62
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
6.229.3512.48
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
6.709.8312.95
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
7.648.539.42
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as North Copper. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against North Copper's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, North Copper's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in North Copper Shanxi.

North Copper Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. North Copper is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the North Copper's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold North Copper Shanxi, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of North Copper within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.1
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.36
σ
Overall volatility
0.73
Ir
Information ratio 0.03

North Copper Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of North Copper for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for North Copper Shanxi can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
North Copper Shanxi had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
North Copper Shanxi is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
North Copper generates negative cash flow from operations
About 67.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

North Copper Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of North Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential North Copper's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. North Copper's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.8 B

North Copper Technical Analysis

North Copper's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. North Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of North Copper Shanxi. In general, you should focus on analyzing North Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

North Copper Predictive Forecast Models

North Copper's time-series forecasting models is one of many North Copper's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary North Copper's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about North Copper Shanxi

Checking the ongoing alerts about North Copper for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for North Copper Shanxi help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
North Copper Shanxi had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
North Copper Shanxi is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
North Copper generates negative cash flow from operations
About 67.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in North Stock

North Copper financial ratios help investors to determine whether North Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in North with respect to the benefits of owning North Copper security.