Xiandai Investment (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1.09
| 000900 Stock | 4.81 0.24 5.25% |
Xiandai |
Xiandai Investment Target Price Odds to finish below 1.09
The tendency of Xiandai Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 1.09 or more in 90 days |
| 4.81 | 90 days | 1.09 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Xiandai Investment to drop to 1.09 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Xiandai Investment Co probability density function shows the probability of Xiandai Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Xiandai Investment price to stay between 1.09 and its current price of 4.81 at the end of the 90-day period is close to 99 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Xiandai Investment Co has a beta of -0.31. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Xiandai Investment are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Xiandai Investment Co is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Xiandai Investment Co has an alpha of 0.3034, implying that it can generate a 0.3 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Xiandai Investment Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Xiandai Investment
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Xiandai Investment. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Xiandai Investment Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Xiandai Investment is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Xiandai Investment's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Xiandai Investment Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Xiandai Investment within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.30 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.31 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.33 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.07 |
Xiandai Investment Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Xiandai Investment for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Xiandai Investment can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 51.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Xiandai Investment Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Xiandai Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Xiandai Investment's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Xiandai Investment's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.5 B |
Xiandai Investment Technical Analysis
Xiandai Investment's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Xiandai Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Xiandai Investment Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing Xiandai Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Xiandai Investment Predictive Forecast Models
Xiandai Investment's time-series forecasting models is one of many Xiandai Investment's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Xiandai Investment's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Xiandai Investment
Checking the ongoing alerts about Xiandai Investment for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Xiandai Investment help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| About 51.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Other Information on Investing in Xiandai Stock
Xiandai Investment financial ratios help investors to determine whether Xiandai Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Xiandai with respect to the benefits of owning Xiandai Investment security.