Advanced Technology (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 9.74
| 000969 Stock | 12.00 0.16 1.32% |
Advanced |
Advanced Technology Target Price Odds to finish below 9.74
The tendency of Advanced Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 9.74 or more in 90 days |
| 12.00 | 90 days | 9.74 | about 45.86 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Advanced Technology to drop to 9.74 or more in 90 days from now is about 45.86 (This Advanced Technology Materials probability density function shows the probability of Advanced Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Advanced Technology price to stay between 9.74 and its current price of 12.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 44.84 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Advanced Technology Materials has a beta of -0.28. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Advanced Technology are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Advanced Technology Materials is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Advanced Technology Materials has an alpha of 0.7139, implying that it can generate a 0.71 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Advanced Technology Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Advanced Technology
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Advanced Technology. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Advanced Technology Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Advanced Technology is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Advanced Technology's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Advanced Technology Materials, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Advanced Technology within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.71 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.28 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.58 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.17 |
Advanced Technology Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Advanced Technology for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Advanced Technology can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Advanced Technology appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| About 38.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Advanced Technology Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Advanced Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Advanced Technology's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Advanced Technology's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.1 B |
Advanced Technology Technical Analysis
Advanced Technology's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Advanced Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Advanced Technology Materials. In general, you should focus on analyzing Advanced Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Advanced Technology Predictive Forecast Models
Advanced Technology's time-series forecasting models is one of many Advanced Technology's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Advanced Technology's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Advanced Technology
Checking the ongoing alerts about Advanced Technology for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Advanced Technology help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Advanced Technology appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| About 38.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Other Information on Investing in Advanced Stock
Advanced Technology financial ratios help investors to determine whether Advanced Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Advanced with respect to the benefits of owning Advanced Technology security.