Gotion High (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 26.13

002074 Stock   23.75  0.31  1.29%   
Gotion High's future price is the expected price of Gotion High instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Gotion High tech performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Gotion High Backtesting, Gotion High Valuation, Gotion High Correlation, Gotion High Hype Analysis, Gotion High Volatility, Gotion High History as well as Gotion High Performance.
  
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Gotion High Target Price Odds to finish over 26.13

The tendency of Gotion Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  26.13  or more in 90 days
 23.75 90 days 26.13 
about 1.75
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Gotion High to move over  26.13  or more in 90 days from now is about 1.75 (This Gotion High tech probability density function shows the probability of Gotion Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Gotion High tech price to stay between its current price of  23.75  and  26.13  at the end of the 90-day period is about 10.78 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Gotion High tech has a beta of -0.0709. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Gotion High are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Gotion High tech is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Gotion High tech has an alpha of 0.4064, implying that it can generate a 0.41 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Gotion High Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Gotion High

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Gotion High tech. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
20.5723.7927.01
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
15.8719.0926.13
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
20.5323.7526.96
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.090.10.10
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Gotion High. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Gotion High's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Gotion High's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Gotion High tech.

Gotion High Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Gotion High is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Gotion High's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Gotion High tech, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Gotion High within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.41
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.07
σ
Overall volatility
2.48
Ir
Information ratio 0.1

Gotion High Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Gotion High for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Gotion High tech can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Gotion High tech had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
About 44.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: Do Gotion High-techLtds Earnings Warrant Your Attention - Simply Wall St

Gotion High Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Gotion Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Gotion High's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Gotion High's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.8 B

Gotion High Technical Analysis

Gotion High's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Gotion Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Gotion High tech. In general, you should focus on analyzing Gotion Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Gotion High Predictive Forecast Models

Gotion High's time-series forecasting models is one of many Gotion High's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Gotion High's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Gotion High tech

Checking the ongoing alerts about Gotion High for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Gotion High tech help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Gotion High tech had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
About 44.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: Do Gotion High-techLtds Earnings Warrant Your Attention - Simply Wall St

Other Information on Investing in Gotion Stock

Gotion High financial ratios help investors to determine whether Gotion Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Gotion with respect to the benefits of owning Gotion High security.