Hanjin Transportation (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 18,380

002320 Stock   18,980  520.00  2.82%   
Hanjin Transportation's future price is the expected price of Hanjin Transportation instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Hanjin Transportation Co performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Hanjin Transportation Backtesting, Hanjin Transportation Valuation, Hanjin Transportation Correlation, Hanjin Transportation Hype Analysis, Hanjin Transportation Volatility, Hanjin Transportation History as well as Hanjin Transportation Performance.
  
Please specify Hanjin Transportation's target price for which you would like Hanjin Transportation odds to be computed.

Hanjin Transportation Target Price Odds to finish below 18,380

The tendency of Hanjin Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move below current price in 90 days
 18,980 90 days 18,980 
about 43.25
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Hanjin Transportation to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 43.25 (This Hanjin Transportation Co probability density function shows the probability of Hanjin Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Hanjin Transportation Co has a beta of -0.1. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Hanjin Transportation are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Hanjin Transportation Co is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Hanjin Transportation Co has an alpha of 0.007, implying that it can generate a 0.006966 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Hanjin Transportation Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Hanjin Transportation

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hanjin Transportation. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
18,97918,98018,981
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
15,91715,91820,878
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
19,60019,60119,602
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
17,55718,59719,637
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Hanjin Transportation. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Hanjin Transportation's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Hanjin Transportation's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Hanjin Transportation.

Hanjin Transportation Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Hanjin Transportation is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Hanjin Transportation's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Hanjin Transportation Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Hanjin Transportation within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.1
σ
Overall volatility
530.53
Ir
Information ratio -0.09

Hanjin Transportation Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Hanjin Transportation for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Hanjin Transportation can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Hanjin Transportation generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Hanjin Transportation Technical Analysis

Hanjin Transportation's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Hanjin Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Hanjin Transportation Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing Hanjin Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Hanjin Transportation Predictive Forecast Models

Hanjin Transportation's time-series forecasting models is one of many Hanjin Transportation's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Hanjin Transportation's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Hanjin Transportation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Hanjin Transportation for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Hanjin Transportation help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Hanjin Transportation generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in Hanjin Stock

Hanjin Transportation financial ratios help investors to determine whether Hanjin Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Hanjin with respect to the benefits of owning Hanjin Transportation security.