Xizi Clean (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 11.59

002534 Stock   11.86  0.32  2.77%   
Xizi Clean's future price is the expected price of Xizi Clean instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Xizi Clean Energy performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Xizi Clean Backtesting, Xizi Clean Valuation, Xizi Clean Correlation, Xizi Clean Hype Analysis, Xizi Clean Volatility, Xizi Clean History as well as Xizi Clean Performance.
  
Please specify Xizi Clean's target price for which you would like Xizi Clean odds to be computed.

Xizi Clean Target Price Odds to finish below 11.59

The tendency of Xizi Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  11.59  or more in 90 days
 11.86 90 days 11.59 
about 68.62
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Xizi Clean to drop to  11.59  or more in 90 days from now is about 68.62 (This Xizi Clean Energy probability density function shows the probability of Xizi Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Xizi Clean Energy price to stay between  11.59  and its current price of 11.86 at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.99 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Xizi Clean Energy has a beta of -0.44. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Xizi Clean are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Xizi Clean Energy is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Xizi Clean Energy has an alpha of 0.3315, implying that it can generate a 0.33 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Xizi Clean Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Xizi Clean

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Xizi Clean Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.7011.6714.64
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
6.549.5112.48
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
8.8311.8114.78
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.000.000.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Xizi Clean. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Xizi Clean's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Xizi Clean's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Xizi Clean Energy.

Xizi Clean Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Xizi Clean is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Xizi Clean's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Xizi Clean Energy, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Xizi Clean within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.33
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.44
σ
Overall volatility
1.29
Ir
Information ratio 0.05

Xizi Clean Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Xizi Clean for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Xizi Clean Energy can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 79.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Xizi Clean Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Xizi Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Xizi Clean's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Xizi Clean's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding739.2 M

Xizi Clean Technical Analysis

Xizi Clean's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Xizi Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Xizi Clean Energy. In general, you should focus on analyzing Xizi Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Xizi Clean Predictive Forecast Models

Xizi Clean's time-series forecasting models is one of many Xizi Clean's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Xizi Clean's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Xizi Clean Energy

Checking the ongoing alerts about Xizi Clean for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Xizi Clean Energy help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 79.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in Xizi Stock

Xizi Clean financial ratios help investors to determine whether Xizi Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Xizi with respect to the benefits of owning Xizi Clean security.