Hangzhou Weiguang (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 19.09
| 002801 Stock | 23.63 1.29 5.77% |
Hangzhou |
Hangzhou Weiguang Target Price Odds to finish below 19.09
The tendency of Hangzhou Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 19.09 or more in 90 days |
| 23.63 | 90 days | 19.09 | about 29.49 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Hangzhou Weiguang to drop to 19.09 or more in 90 days from now is about 29.49 (This Hangzhou Weiguang Electronic probability density function shows the probability of Hangzhou Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Hangzhou Weiguang price to stay between 19.09 and its current price of 23.63 at the end of the 90-day period is about 65.08 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Hangzhou Weiguang Electronic has a beta of -0.046. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Hangzhou Weiguang are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Hangzhou Weiguang Electronic is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Hangzhou Weiguang Electronic has an alpha of 0.3933, implying that it can generate a 0.39 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Hangzhou Weiguang Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Hangzhou Weiguang
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hangzhou Weiguang. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Hangzhou Weiguang Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Hangzhou Weiguang is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Hangzhou Weiguang's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Hangzhou Weiguang Electronic, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Hangzhou Weiguang within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.39 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.05 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.11 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.09 |
Hangzhou Weiguang Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Hangzhou Weiguang for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Hangzhou Weiguang can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Hangzhou Weiguang appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| About 74.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: There May Be Some Bright Spots In Hangzhou Weiguang ElectronicLtds Earnings - Simply Wall St |
Hangzhou Weiguang Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Hangzhou Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Hangzhou Weiguang's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Hangzhou Weiguang's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 229.6 M | |
| Dividends Paid | 114.8 M | |
| Forward Annual Dividend Rate | 0.3 | |
| Shares Float | 57.3 M |
Hangzhou Weiguang Technical Analysis
Hangzhou Weiguang's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Hangzhou Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Hangzhou Weiguang Electronic. In general, you should focus on analyzing Hangzhou Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Hangzhou Weiguang Predictive Forecast Models
Hangzhou Weiguang's time-series forecasting models is one of many Hangzhou Weiguang's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Hangzhou Weiguang's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Hangzhou Weiguang
Checking the ongoing alerts about Hangzhou Weiguang for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Hangzhou Weiguang help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Hangzhou Weiguang appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| About 74.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: There May Be Some Bright Spots In Hangzhou Weiguang ElectronicLtds Earnings - Simply Wall St |
Other Information on Investing in Hangzhou Stock
Hangzhou Weiguang financial ratios help investors to determine whether Hangzhou Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Hangzhou with respect to the benefits of owning Hangzhou Weiguang security.