Double Medical (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 24.82

002901 Stock   32.77  0.37  1.14%   
Double Medical's future price is the expected price of Double Medical instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Double Medical Technology performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Double Medical Backtesting, Double Medical Valuation, Double Medical Correlation, Double Medical Hype Analysis, Double Medical Volatility, Double Medical History as well as Double Medical Performance.
  
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Double Medical Target Price Odds to finish below 24.82

The tendency of Double Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  24.82  or more in 90 days
 32.77 90 days 24.82 
about 14.61
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Double Medical to drop to  24.82  or more in 90 days from now is about 14.61 (This Double Medical Technology probability density function shows the probability of Double Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Double Medical Technology price to stay between  24.82  and its current price of 32.77 at the end of the 90-day period is about 58.66 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Double Medical Technology has a beta of -0.11. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Double Medical are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Double Medical Technology is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Double Medical Technology has an alpha of 0.5787, implying that it can generate a 0.58 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Double Medical Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Double Medical

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Double Medical Technology. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
30.3533.3236.29
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
22.9225.8935.64
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.000.000.00
Details

Double Medical Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Double Medical is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Double Medical's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Double Medical Technology, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Double Medical within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.58
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.11
σ
Overall volatility
4.75
Ir
Information ratio 0.16

Double Medical Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Double Medical for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Double Medical Technology can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 86.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: Tactile Systems Technology Stock Acquired Sen. Tina Smith - MarketBeat

Double Medical Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Double Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Double Medical's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Double Medical's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding414 M

Double Medical Technical Analysis

Double Medical's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Double Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Double Medical Technology. In general, you should focus on analyzing Double Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Double Medical Predictive Forecast Models

Double Medical's time-series forecasting models is one of many Double Medical's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Double Medical's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Double Medical Technology

Checking the ongoing alerts about Double Medical for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Double Medical Technology help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 86.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: Tactile Systems Technology Stock Acquired Sen. Tina Smith - MarketBeat

Other Information on Investing in Double Stock

Double Medical financial ratios help investors to determine whether Double Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Double with respect to the benefits of owning Double Medical security.