Dongbang Transport (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 2008.65

004140 Stock   2,380  100.00  4.39%   
Dongbang Transport's future price is the expected price of Dongbang Transport instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Dongbang Transport Logistics performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Dongbang Transport Backtesting, Dongbang Transport Valuation, Dongbang Transport Correlation, Dongbang Transport Hype Analysis, Dongbang Transport Volatility, Dongbang Transport History as well as Dongbang Transport Performance.
  
Please specify Dongbang Transport's target price for which you would like Dongbang Transport odds to be computed.

Dongbang Transport Target Price Odds to finish over 2008.65

The tendency of Dongbang Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  2,009  in 90 days
 2,380 90 days 2,009 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Dongbang Transport to stay above  2,009  in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Dongbang Transport Logistics probability density function shows the probability of Dongbang Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Dongbang Transport price to stay between  2,009  and its current price of 2380.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 21.25 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Dongbang Transport Logistics has a beta of -0.19. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Dongbang Transport are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Dongbang Transport Logistics is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Dongbang Transport Logistics has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Dongbang Transport Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Dongbang Transport

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Dongbang Transport. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2,2782,2802,282
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2,0062,0092,508
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
2,2242,2262,228
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
2,1352,2422,350
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Dongbang Transport. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Dongbang Transport's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Dongbang Transport's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Dongbang Transport.

Dongbang Transport Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Dongbang Transport is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Dongbang Transport's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Dongbang Transport Logistics, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Dongbang Transport within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.3
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.19
σ
Overall volatility
223.07
Ir
Information ratio -0.2

Dongbang Transport Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Dongbang Transport for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Dongbang Transport can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Dongbang Transport generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Dongbang Transport Technical Analysis

Dongbang Transport's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Dongbang Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Dongbang Transport Logistics. In general, you should focus on analyzing Dongbang Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Dongbang Transport Predictive Forecast Models

Dongbang Transport's time-series forecasting models is one of many Dongbang Transport's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Dongbang Transport's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Dongbang Transport

Checking the ongoing alerts about Dongbang Transport for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Dongbang Transport help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Dongbang Transport generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in Dongbang Stock

Dongbang Transport financial ratios help investors to determine whether Dongbang Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Dongbang with respect to the benefits of owning Dongbang Transport security.