DB Insurance (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 108,115

005830 Stock   108,500  1,300  1.21%   
DB Insurance's future price is the expected price of DB Insurance instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of DB Insurance Co performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out DB Insurance Backtesting, DB Insurance Valuation, DB Insurance Correlation, DB Insurance Hype Analysis, DB Insurance Volatility, DB Insurance History as well as DB Insurance Performance.
  
Please specify DB Insurance's target price for which you would like DB Insurance odds to be computed.

DB Insurance Target Price Odds to finish below 108,115

The tendency of 005830 Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move below current price in 90 days
 108,500 90 days 108,500 
about 20.49
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of DB Insurance to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 20.49 (This DB Insurance Co probability density function shows the probability of 005830 Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon DB Insurance Co has a beta of -0.0607. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding DB Insurance are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, DB Insurance Co is likely to outperform the market. Additionally DB Insurance Co has an alpha of 0.1284, implying that it can generate a 0.13 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   DB Insurance Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for DB Insurance

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as DB Insurance. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
108,498108,500108,502
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
92,33592,337119,350
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
111,971111,974111,976
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
106,841108,067109,292
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as DB Insurance. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against DB Insurance's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, DB Insurance's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in DB Insurance.

DB Insurance Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. DB Insurance is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the DB Insurance's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold DB Insurance Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of DB Insurance within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.13
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.06
σ
Overall volatility
4,756
Ir
Information ratio 0.0001

DB Insurance Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of DB Insurance for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for DB Insurance can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
DB Insurance generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 23.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

DB Insurance Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of 005830 Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential DB Insurance's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. DB Insurance's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding60 M

DB Insurance Technical Analysis

DB Insurance's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. 005830 Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of DB Insurance Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing 005830 Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

DB Insurance Predictive Forecast Models

DB Insurance's time-series forecasting models is one of many DB Insurance's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary DB Insurance's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about DB Insurance

Checking the ongoing alerts about DB Insurance for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for DB Insurance help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
DB Insurance generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 23.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in 005830 Stock

DB Insurance financial ratios help investors to determine whether 005830 Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 005830 with respect to the benefits of owning DB Insurance security.