MSC (Korea) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 5337.6

009780 Stock  KRW 5,560  170.00  2.97%   
MSC's future price is the expected price of MSC instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of MSC Co performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out MSC Backtesting, MSC Valuation, MSC Correlation, MSC Hype Analysis, MSC Volatility, MSC History as well as MSC Performance.
  
Please specify MSC's target price for which you would like MSC odds to be computed.

MSC Target Price Odds to finish over 5337.6

The tendency of MSC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above W 5,338  in 90 days
 5,560 90 days 5,338 
about 48.12
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of MSC to stay above W 5,338  in 90 days from now is about 48.12 (This MSC Co probability density function shows the probability of MSC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of MSC Co price to stay between W 5,338  and its current price of W5560.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 24.0 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon MSC Co has a beta of -0.21. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding MSC are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, MSC Co is likely to outperform the market. Additionally MSC Co has an alpha of 0.2355, implying that it can generate a 0.24 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   MSC Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for MSC

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as MSC Co. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5,5555,5605,565
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4,7364,7416,116
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
5,5095,5145,518
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
5,4005,7086,016
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as MSC. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against MSC's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, MSC's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in MSC Co.

MSC Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. MSC is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the MSC's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold MSC Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of MSC within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.24
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.21
σ
Overall volatility
339.36
Ir
Information ratio 0.02

MSC Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of MSC for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for MSC Co can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
MSC Co had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
About 73.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

MSC Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of MSC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential MSC's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. MSC's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding17.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments23.3 B

MSC Technical Analysis

MSC's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. MSC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of MSC Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing MSC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

MSC Predictive Forecast Models

MSC's time-series forecasting models is one of many MSC's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary MSC's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about MSC Co

Checking the ongoing alerts about MSC for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for MSC Co help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
MSC Co had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
About 73.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in MSC Stock

MSC financial ratios help investors to determine whether MSC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in MSC with respect to the benefits of owning MSC security.