Hanwha Aerospace (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 376813.0

012450 Stock   359,000  20,500  5.40%   
Hanwha Aerospace's future price is the expected price of Hanwha Aerospace instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Hanwha Aerospace Co performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Hanwha Aerospace Backtesting, Hanwha Aerospace Valuation, Hanwha Aerospace Correlation, Hanwha Aerospace Hype Analysis, Hanwha Aerospace Volatility, Hanwha Aerospace History as well as Hanwha Aerospace Performance.
  
Please specify Hanwha Aerospace's target price for which you would like Hanwha Aerospace odds to be computed.

Hanwha Aerospace Target Price Odds to finish below 376813.0

The tendency of Hanwha Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under  376,813  after 90 days
 359,000 90 days 376,813 
about 77.79
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Hanwha Aerospace to stay under  376,813  after 90 days from now is about 77.79 (This Hanwha Aerospace Co probability density function shows the probability of Hanwha Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Hanwha Aerospace price to stay between its current price of  359,000  and  376,813  at the end of the 90-day period is about 15.29 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Hanwha Aerospace has a beta of 0.78. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Hanwha Aerospace average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Hanwha Aerospace Co will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Hanwha Aerospace Co has an alpha of 0.2835, implying that it can generate a 0.28 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Hanwha Aerospace Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Hanwha Aerospace

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hanwha Aerospace. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
358,996359,000359,004
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
353,382353,386394,900
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
371,521371,525371,529
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
352,912391,167429,421
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Hanwha Aerospace. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Hanwha Aerospace's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Hanwha Aerospace's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Hanwha Aerospace.

Hanwha Aerospace Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Hanwha Aerospace is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Hanwha Aerospace's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Hanwha Aerospace Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Hanwha Aerospace within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.28
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.78
σ
Overall volatility
39,834
Ir
Information ratio 0.07

Hanwha Aerospace Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Hanwha Aerospace for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Hanwha Aerospace can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Hanwha Aerospace had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
About 34.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Hanwha Aerospace Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Hanwha Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Hanwha Aerospace's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Hanwha Aerospace's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding50.6 M

Hanwha Aerospace Technical Analysis

Hanwha Aerospace's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Hanwha Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Hanwha Aerospace Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing Hanwha Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Hanwha Aerospace Predictive Forecast Models

Hanwha Aerospace's time-series forecasting models is one of many Hanwha Aerospace's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Hanwha Aerospace's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Hanwha Aerospace

Checking the ongoing alerts about Hanwha Aerospace for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Hanwha Aerospace help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Hanwha Aerospace had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
About 34.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in Hanwha Stock

Hanwha Aerospace financial ratios help investors to determine whether Hanwha Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Hanwha with respect to the benefits of owning Hanwha Aerospace security.